Diamondbacks vs. Phillies Picks & Best Bets 21st Jun 2024: MLB Prediction, Betting Odds, Player Props & Trends

The Philadelphia Phillies will meet the Arizona Diamondbacks in MLB action on Friday at Citizens Bank Park, beginning at 6:40 p.m. ET.

We run 10,000 simulations of Friday's MLB matchup using advanced AI technology to reveal the best Diamondbacks vs. Phillies bets, player props and predictions.

Our predictions show that the Phillies have a 55% chance of beating the Diamondbacks.

To get the best value from these predictions, we constantly monitor the best odds for each market. This ensures that the sportsbooks listed below are currently offering the highest payouts for the plays identified.

Our Diamondbacks vs. Phillies Betting Picks & Predictions

Today's Diamondbacks vs. Phillies picks fuse the power of AI, stats and analytics to create MLB picks that are free from the emotional biases typical of human-made picks.

Diamondbacks vs. Phillies Game Information

• Game Date: Friday, June 21st, 2024
• Game Time: 6:40 p.m. ET
• Location: Citizens Bank Park
• Run Line: Diamondbacks +1.5 / Phillies -1.5
• Moneyline: Diamondbacks +120 / Phillies -142
• Scoring Total: Over/Under 9.5 Runs (-114/-105)

Diamondbacks +1.5 @ -155 via BetMGM

• According to our simulations, the Diamondbacks have a 63% chance of covering the run line, while the Phillies have a probability of 37%.
• BetMGM offers odds of -155 for the Diamondbacks +1.5, providing a favorable 1.8% edge for them to cover.

Total Runs Under 9.5 @ -105 via BetMGM

• The over/under for total runs scored is set at 9.5, with BetMGM offering the best odds for the under at -105.
• Our analysis suggests a 51% likelihood of the 9.5-run total staying under.

Diamondbacks vs. Phillies Moneyline Odds

The sportsbooks have released the moneyline odds for this matchup, with the Arizona Diamondbacks at +120 via BetMGM, whilst the Philadelphia Phillies are available at -142 with DraftKings Sportsbook.

According to the model, the Phillies are favored to win this game, with our projections giving them a 55% chance of victory.

Even though the Phillies are more likely to win, BetMGM offers +120 odds on the Diamondbacks moneyline, making it our recommended moneyline bet, as it represents the best value currently available.

Our Player Prop Picks for Diamondbacks vs. Phillies

Here are the top MLB player props for Friday's Diamondbacks vs. Phillies matchup.

Arizona Diamondbacks Prediction - Jordan Montgomery Under 1.5 Walks Allowed (+125)

• Our top prop bet for the Diamondbacks is on Jordan Montgomery to record under 1.5 walks allowed.
• Our analysis projects this prop to have a probability of 58.2%, providing an edge of 13.8% over the +125 odds offered by BetMGM.

Philadelphia Phillies Prediction - Taijuan Walker Over 4.5 Strikeouts (+125)

• Our best prop bet for the Phillies is on Taijuan Walker to have over 4.5 strikeouts.
• According to our analysis, this prop has a probability of 57.6%, giving us an edge of 13.1% on the +125 odds available at DraftKings.

These MLB player props today are based purely on advanced modeling techniques that factor in variables including but not limited to past form and opponent trends, meaning you can trust that there is no bias that comes into play.

Diamondbacks vs. Phillies Betting Trends

In addition to our MLB prop picks, we have compiled the best Diamondbacks vs. Phillies trends to enhance your research and betting strategy for this matchup.

Gabriel Moreno to Record an RBI

Gabriel Moreno has recorded at least one RBI in 5 of his last 12 games (42% success rate). You can bet on him to do it again at odds of +190 (34% implied probability), available at DraftKings.

Conclusion

At BettingOdds.com, we're backing Jordan Montgomery of the D-Backs to record under 1.5 walks allowed, with an edge of 13.8% marking this as our top prop bet of the game. Additionally, we're placing a bet on the Diamondbacks +1.5 to cover.

In addition to our Diamondbacks vs. Phillies predictions, we offer a wide range of MLB betting tools. These include the latest MLB odds for today and insightful MLB expert picks to elevate your betting game. Discover top picks with the MLB best bets today and dive into expert MLB insights. Plus, find the best odds and promotions with our guide to the best MLB betting sites.