Diamondbacks vs. Padres Picks & Best Bets 5th Jul 2024: MLB Prediction, Betting Odds, Player Props & Trends

The San Diego Padres will go up against the Arizona Diamondbacks in MLB action on Friday at PETCO Park, starting at 9:40 p.m. ET.

We conducted 10,000 simulations of Friday's MLB matchup using state-of-the-art AI technology to pinpoint the best Diamondbacks vs. Padres bets, player props and predictions.

Using these simulations, we predict that this game could go down to the wire, with both the Diamondbacks and Padres having a 50% chance of winning.

To get the best value from these predictions, we constantly source the most favorable odds for each market. This means that the sportsbooks listed below are currently offering the highest payouts for the specified plays.

Our Diamondbacks vs. Padres Betting Picks & Predictions

Today's Diamondbacks vs. Padres picks combine the power of AI, statistics and analytics to create MLB predictions that are free from the emotional biases typical of human-made picks.

Diamondbacks vs. Padres Game Information

• Game Date: Friday, July 5th, 2024
• Game Time: 9:40 p.m. ET
• Location: PETCO Park
• Run Line: Diamondbacks -1.5 / Padres +1.5
• Moneyline: Diamondbacks -115 / Padres +100
• Scoring Total: Over/Under 8 Runs (-118/-102)

Padres +1.5 @ -156 via FanDuel Sportsbook

• According to our simulations, the Padres have a 64% chance of covering the run line, while the Diamondbacks have a probability of 36%.
• FanDuel Sportsbook offers odds of -156 for the Padres +1.5, providing a favorable 2.8% edge for them to cover.

Total Runs Over 8 @ -118 via DraftKings Sportsbook

• The over/under for total runs scored is set at 8, with DraftKings Sportsbook offering the best odds for the over at -118.
• Our analysis indicates a 55% chance of the 8-run total going over, providing an edge of 0.7%.

Diamondbacks vs. Padres Moneyline Odds

The sportsbooks have released the moneyline odds for this matchup, with the Arizona Diamondbacks at -115 via BetMGM, whilst the San Diego Padres are available at +100 with DraftKings Sportsbook.

According to the model, the Padres are favored to win this game, with our projections assigning them a 50% chance of prevailing.

With both teams projected to have a 50% chance of winning, it's the moneyline odds for the Padres that present the best value. DraftKings Sportsbook's +100 odds, providing an edge of 0.5%, make this our recommended moneyline bet.

Our Player Prop Picks for Diamondbacks vs. Padres

Here are the top MLB player props for Friday's Diamondbacks vs. Padres matchup.

Arizona Diamondbacks Prediction - Slade Cecconi Over 3.5 Strikeouts (+124)

• Our top prop bet for the Diamondbacks is on Slade Cecconi to record over 3.5 strikeouts.
• Our analysis projects this prop to have a probability of 50.4%, giving us an edge of 5.8% on the +124 odds offered by FanDuel.

San Diego Padres Prediction - Kyle Higashioka To Get a HR (+675)

• Our best prop bet for the Padres is on Kyle Higashioka to hit a home run.
• According to our analysis, there is a probability of 17.1% that he will go yard, providing an edge of 4.2% on the +675 odds available at BetMGM.

These MLB player props today are based purely on advanced modeling techniques that factor in variables including but not limited to past form and opponent trends, meaning you can trust that there is no bias that comes into play.

Diamondbacks vs. Padres Betting Trends

In addition to our MLB prop picks, we have sourced the best Diamondbacks vs. Padres trends to enhance your research and betting strategy for this matchup.

Ha-Seong Kim to Record a Hit

Ha-Seong Kim has recorded at least one hit in 10 of his last 12 appearances (83% success rate). You can wager on him to do it again at odds of -160 (62% implied probability), available at DraftKings.

Alek Thomas to Record an RBI

Alek Thomas has recorded at least one RBI in 7 of his last 22 appearances (32%). You can make a bet that he'll record another one at odds of +235 (30%), also available at DraftKings.

Christian Walker to Record a Hit

Christian Walker has recorded at least one hit in 12 of his last 16 appearances (75%). You can wager on him to record at least one hit again at odds of -240 (71%), again available at DraftKings.

Conclusion

At BettingOdds.com, we're backing Slade Cecconi of the D-Backs to record over 3.5 strikeouts, with an edge of 5.8% marking this as our top prop bet of the game. Additionally, we are betting on the Padres +1.5 to cover.

In addition to our Diamondbacks vs. Padres predictions, we offer a wide range of MLB betting resources. These include the latest MLB odds for today and insightful MLB expert picks to elevate your betting game. Discover top picks with the best MLB bets today and dive into expert MLB insights. Plus, find the best odds and promotions with our guide to the top MLB betting sites.