Diamondbacks vs. Guardians Picks & Best Bets 5th Aug 2024: MLB Prediction, Betting Odds, Player Props & Trends

The Cleveland Guardians will take on the Arizona Diamondbacks in MLB action on Monday at Progressive Field, beginning at 6:40 p.m. ET.

We run 10,000 simulations of Monday's MLB matchup using state-of-the-art AI technology to determine the best Diamondbacks vs. Guardians bets, player props and predictions.

According to our predictions, this game could go down to the wire, with both the Diamondbacks and Guardians having a 50% likelihood of winning.

To maximize the value of predictions like this, we continually source the best odds for each market. This means that the sportsbooks listed below are currently offering the biggest payouts for the specified plays.

Our Diamondbacks vs. Guardians Betting Picks & Predictions

Today's Diamondbacks vs. Guardians picks combine the power of AI, statistics and analytics to generate MLB predictions that are free from the emotional biases typical of human-made picks.

Diamondbacks vs. Guardians Game Information

• Game Date: Monday, August 5th, 2024
• Game Time: 6:40 p.m. ET
• Location: Progressive Field
• Run Line: Diamondbacks -1.5 / Guardians +1.5
• Moneyline: Diamondbacks -118 / Guardians +100
• Scoring Total: Over/Under 8.5 Runs (+100/-115)

Guardians +1.5 @ -162 via FanDuel Sportsbook

• According to our simulations, the Guardians have a 62% chance of covering the run line, while the Diamondbacks have a probability of 38%.
• FanDuel Sportsbook offers odds of -162 for the Guardians +1.5, providing a favorable 0.5% edge for them to cover.

Total Runs Over 8.5 @ +100 via FanDuel Sportsbook

• The over/under for total runs scored is set at 8.5, with FanDuel Sportsbook offering the best odds for the over at +100.
• Our analysis shows a 52% probability that the total will go over 8.5 runs, providing an edge of 1.8%.

Diamondbacks vs. Guardians Moneyline Odds

The sportsbooks have released the moneyline odds for this matchup, with the Arizona Diamondbacks at -118 via DraftKings Sportsbook, whilst the Cleveland Guardians are available at +100 with BetMGM.

According to the model, the Diamondbacks are favored to win this game, with our projections giving them a 50% chance of victory.

With both teams projected to have a 50% chance of winning, it's the moneyline odds for the Guardians that present the best value. BetMGM's +100 odds make this our recommended moneyline bet.

Our Player Prop Picks for Diamondbacks vs. Guardians

Here are the best MLB player props for Monday's Diamondbacks vs. Guardians game.

Arizona Diamondbacks Prediction - Jake McCarthy To Get a Hit (-215)

• Our top prop bet for the Diamondbacks is on Jake McCarthy to get a hit.
• Our analysis projects this prop to have a probability of 68.6%, providing an edge of 0.3% the -215 odds offered by DraftKings.

Cleveland Guardians Prediction - Tyler Freeman To Get a Hit (-210)

• Our best prop bet for the Guardians is on Tyler Freeman to get a hit.
• According to our analysis, this prop has a probability of 68.7%, providing an edge of 0.9% on the -210 odds available at DraftKings.

These MLB player props today are based purely on advanced modeling techniques that factor in variables including but not limited to past form and opponent trends, meaning you can trust that there is no bias that comes into play.

Diamondbacks vs. Guardians Betting Trends

In addition to our MLB prop picks, we have compiled the best Diamondbacks vs. Guardians trends to enhance your research and betting strategy for this game.

Josh Naylor to Record a Hit

Josh Naylor has recorded at least one hit in 9 of his last 10 games (90% of the time). You can wager on him to do it again at odds of -240 (71% implied probability), available at DraftKings.

Bo Naylor to Hit a Home Run

Bo Naylor has hit at least one home run in 4 of his last 19 appearances (21%). You can make a bet that he'll hit another one at odds of +650 (13%), available at Bet365.

Conclusion

At BettingOdds.com, we're backing Tyler Freeman of the Guardians to get a hit as our top prop bet of the game. Additionally, we are placing a bet on the Guardians +1.5 to cover.

In addition to our Diamondbacks vs. Guardians predictions, we offer extensive MLB betting resources. These include the latest MLB betting odds and insightful MLB predictions to elevate your betting game. Discover top picks with our MLB best bets and dive into MLB sports journalists' insights. Plus, find the best odds and promotions with our guide to the best MLB betting sites.