Diamondbacks vs. Cubs Picks & Best Bets 21st Jul 2024: MLB Prediction, Betting Odds, Player Props & Trends

The Chicago Cubs will take on the Arizona Diamondbacks in MLB action on Sunday at Wrigley Field, starting at 2:20 p.m. ET.
We have conducted 10,000 simulations of Sunday's MLB matchup using state-of-the-art AI technology to identify the best Diamondbacks vs. Cubs bets, player props and predictions.
According to our predictions, the Cubs have a 56% chance of defeating the Diamondbacks.
To get the best value from these predictions, we continually monitor the best odds for each market. This means that the sportsbooks listed below are currently offering the biggest payouts for the specified plays.
Our Diamondbacks vs. Cubs Betting Picks & Predictions
Today's Diamondbacks vs. Cubs picks combine the power of AI, statistics and analytics to generate MLB predictions that are free from the emotional biases typical of human-made picks.
Diamondbacks vs. Cubs Game Information
- Game Date: Sunday, July 21st, 2024
- Game Time: 2:20 p.m. ET
- Location: Wrigley Field
- Run Line: Diamondbacks +1.5 / Cubs -1.5
- Moneyline: Diamondbacks +110 / Cubs -125
- Scoring Total: Over/Under 7 Runs (-115/-102)
Cubs -1.5 @ +172 via FanDuel Sportsbook
- According to our simulations, the Cubs have a 64% chance of covering the run line, while the Cubs have a probability of 36%.
- FanDuel Sportsbook offers the best odds for this bet at +172.
Total Runs Under 7 @ -102 via FanDuel Sportsbook
- The over/under for total runs scored is set at 7 at FanDuel Sportsbook, which offers the best odds for the under at -102.
- Our analysis shows a 49% probability that the total will stay under 7 runs, which presents better value compared to betting on the over.
Diamondbacks vs. Cubs Moneyline Odds
The sportsbooks have released the moneyline odds for this matchup, with the Arizona Diamondbacks at +110 via DraftKings Sportsbook, whilst the Chicago Cubs are available at -125 with BetMGM.
According to the model, the Cubs are favored to win this game, with our projections assigning them a 56% chance of victory.
Not only are they favored to win, but the Cubs also present the best betting value, with the odds of -125 available at BetMGM for an edge of 0.1%.
Our Player Prop Picks for Diamondbacks vs. Cubs
Here are the top MLB player props for Sunday's Diamondbacks vs. Cubs matchup.
Arizona Diamondbacks Prediction - Brandon Pfaadt Under 1.5 Walks Allowed (-105)
- Our top prop bet for the Diamondbacks is on Brandon Pfaadt to record under 1.5 walks allowed.
- Our analysis projects this prop to have a probability of 64.4%, providing an edge of 13.1% the -105 odds offered by BetMGM.
Chicago Cubs Prediction - Shota Imanaga Under 17.5 Outs (+100)
- Our best prop bet for the Cubs is on Shota Imanaga to have under 17.5 outs.
- According to our analysis, this prop has a probability of 62.0%, giving us an edge of 12.0% on the +100 odds available at BetMGM.
These MLB player props today are based purely on advanced modeling techniques that factor in variables including but not limited to past form and opponent trends, meaning you can trust that there is no bias that comes into play.
Diamondbacks vs. Cubs Betting Trends
In addition to our MLB prop picks, we have compiled the best Diamondbacks vs. Cubs trends to enhance your research and betting strategy for this game.
Corbin Carroll to Record an RBI
Corbin Carroll has recorded at least one RBI in 6 of his last 10 appearances (60% of the time). You can put money on him to do it again at odds of +275 (27% implied probability), available at DraftKings.
Eugenio Suárez to Record an RBI
Eugenio Suárez has recorded at least one RBI in 6 of his last 10 games (60%). You can place a wager on him to record another one at odds of +225 (31%), also available at DraftKings.
Nico Hoerner to Record a Hit
Nico Hoerner has recorded at least one hit in 12 of his last 13 appearances (92%). You can bet on him to record at least one hit again at odds of -270 (73%), again available at DraftKings.
Conclusion
At BettingOdds.com, we're backing Brandon Pfaadt of the D-Backs to record under 1.5 walks allowed, with an edge of 13.1% marking this as our top prop bet of the game. Additionally, we're placing a bet on the Cubs -1.5 to cover.
In addition to our Diamondbacks vs. Cubs predictions, we offer a wide range of MLB betting resources. These include the latest MLB odds and insightful MLB predictions today to elevate your betting game. Discover top picks with the best MLB bets and dive into MLB sports journalists' insights. Plus, find the best odds and promotions with our guide to the top MLB betting sites.