Cubs vs. Royals Picks & Best Bets 28th Jul 2024: MLB Prediction, Betting Odds, Player Props & Trends

The Kansas City Royals will face the Chicago Cubs in MLB action on Sunday at Kauffman Stadium, starting at 2:10 p.m. ET.

We performed 10,000 simulations of Sunday's MLB matchup using advanced AI technology to highlight the best Cubs vs. Royals bets, player props and predictions.

Our predictions show that the Royals have a 64% chance of defeating the Cubs.

To maximize the value of predictions like this, we continuously source the most favorable odds for each market. This means that the sportsbooks listed below are currently offering the highest payouts for the plays identified.

Our Cubs vs. Royals Betting Picks & Predictions

Today's Cubs vs. Royals picks combine the power of AI, data and analytics to generate MLB predictions that are free from the emotional biases typical of human-made picks.

Cubs vs. Royals Game Information

• Game Date: Sunday, July 28th, 2024
• Game Time: 2:10 p.m. ET
• Location: Kauffman Stadium
• Run Line: Cubs +1.5 / Royals -1.5
• Moneyline: Cubs +154 / Royals -180
• Scoring Total: Over/Under 9 Runs (-105/-105)

Cubs +1.5 @ -130 via BetMGM

• According to our simulations, the Cubs have a 55% chance of covering the run line, while the Royals have a probability of 45%.
• BetMGM offers the best odds for this bet at -130.

Total Runs Under 9 @ -105 via DraftKings Sportsbook

• The over/under for total runs scored is set at 9 at DraftKings Sportsbook, which offers the best odds for the under at -105.
• Our analysis shows a 56% chance of the 9-run total staying under, providing an edge of 4.3%.

Cubs vs. Royals Moneyline Odds

The sportsbooks have released the moneyline odds for this matchup, with the Chicago Cubs at +154 via FanDuel Sportsbook, whilst the Kansas City Royals are available at -180 with DraftKings Sportsbook.

According to the model, the Royals are favored to win this game, with our projections giving them a 64% chance of coming out on top.

Additionally, the Royals present the best betting value, with the odds of -180 available at DraftKings Sportsbook making it our recommended moneyline bet.

Our Player Prop Picks for Cubs vs. Royals

Here are the best MLB player props for Sunday's Cubs vs. Royals matchup.

Chicago Cubs Prediction - Javier Assad Under 2.5 Earned Runs (-105)

• Our top prop bet for the Cubs is on Javier Assad to record under 2.5 earned runs.
• Our analysis projects this prop to have a probability of 63.2%, giving us an edge of 12.0% over the -105 odds offered by BetMGM.

Kansas City Royals Prediction - Cole Ragans Over 18.5 Outs (+145)

• Our best prop bet for the Royals is on Cole Ragans to have over 18.5 outs.
• According to our analysis, this prop has a probability of 54.6%, giving us an edge of 13.8% on the +145 odds available at BetMGM.

These MLB player props today are based purely on advanced modeling techniques that factor in variables including but not limited to past form and opponent trends, meaning you can trust that there is no bias that comes into play.

Cubs vs. Royals Betting Trends

In addition to our MLB prop picks, we have sourced the best Cubs vs. Royals trends to enhance your research and betting strategy for this matchup.

Michael Busch to Record an RBI

Michael Busch has recorded at least one RBI in 6 of his last 16 games (38% success rate). You can bet on him to do it again at odds of +220 (31% implied probability), available at DraftKings.

Garrett Hampson to Record an RBI

Garrett Hampson has recorded at least one RBI in 5 of his last 14 appearances (36%). You can place a bet on him to record another one at odds of +240 (29%), also available at DraftKings.

Hunter Renfroe to Hit a Home Run

Hunter Renfroe has hit at least one home run in 2 of his last 10 games (20%). You can bet on him to homer again at odds of +400 (20%), again available at DraftKings.

Conclusion

At BettingOdds.com, we're backing Cole Ragans of the Royals to record over 18.5 outs, with an edge of 13.8% marking this as our top prop bet of the game. Additionally, we're placing a bet on the Cubs +1.5 to cover.

Beyond our Cubs vs. Royals predictions, we offer a wide range of MLB betting resources. These include the latest MLB odds and insightful MLB predictions to elevate your betting game. Discover top picks with the best MLB bets and dive into our MLB expert insights. Plus, find the best odds and promotions with our guide to the top MLB betting sites.