Cubs vs. Reds Picks & Best Bets 30th Jul 2024: MLB Prediction, Betting Odds, Player Props & Trends

The Cincinnati Reds will host the Chicago Cubs in MLB action on Tuesday at Great American Ball Park, beginning at 7:10 p.m. ET.
We've run 10,000 simulations of Tuesday's MLB matchup using advanced AI technology to reveal the best Cubs vs. Reds bets, player props and predictions.
According to our predictions, the Cubs have a 52% chance of beating the Reds.
To maximize the value of predictions like this, we continuously monitor the most favorable odds for each market. This means that the sportsbooks listed below are currently offering the biggest payouts for the specified plays.
Our Cubs vs. Reds Betting Picks & Predictions
Today's Cubs vs. Reds picks fuse the power of AI, data and analytics to create MLB picks that are free from the emotional biases typical of human-made picks.
Cubs vs. Reds Game Information
- Game Date: Tuesday, July 30th, 2024
- Game Time: 7:10 p.m. ET
- Location: Great American Ball Park
- Run Line: Cubs -1.5 / Reds +1.5
- Moneyline: Cubs -130 / Reds +110
- Scoring Total: Over/Under 9 Runs (-115/+102)
Reds +1.5 @ -142 via FanDuel Sportsbook
- According to our simulations, the Reds have a 60% chance of covering the run line, while the Cubs have a probability of 40%.
- FanDuel Sportsbook offers odds of -142 for the Reds +1.5, presenting a favorable 1% edge for them to cover.
Total Runs Under 9 @ +102 via DraftKings Sportsbook
- The over/under for total runs scored is set at 9 at DraftKings Sportsbook, which offers the best odds for the under at +102.
- Our analysis shows a 51% probability of the 9-run total staying under, providing an edge of 1.1%.
Cubs vs. Reds Moneyline Odds
The sportsbooks have released the moneyline odds for this matchup, with the Chicago Cubs at -130 via BetMGM, whilst the Cincinnati Reds are available at +110 with BetMGM.
According to the model, the Cubs are favored to win this game, with our projections giving them a 52% chance of coming out on top.
Although the Cubs are more likely to win, BetMGM offers +110 odds on the Reds moneyline, providing an edge of 0.1%. This makes it our recommended moneyline bet.
Our Player Prop Picks for Cubs vs. Reds
Here are the best MLB player props for Tuesday's Cubs vs. Reds matchup.
Chicago Cubs Prediction - Justin Steele Under 2.5 Earned Runs (-125)
- Our top prop bet for the Cubs is on Justin Steele to record under 2.5 earned runs.
- Our analysis projects this prop to have a probability of 62.2%, giving us an edge of 6.6% over the -125 odds offered by DraftKings.
Cincinnati Reds Prediction - Jeimer Candelario To Get a Hit (-185)
- Our best prop bet for the Reds is on Jeimer Candelario to get a hit.
- According to our analysis, this prop has a probability of 76.8%, giving us an edge of 11.8% on the -185 odds available at BetMGM.
These MLB player props today are based purely on advanced modeling techniques that factor in variables including but not limited to past form and opponent trends, meaning you can trust that there is no bias that comes into play.
Cubs vs. Reds Betting Trends
In addition to our MLB prop picks, we have sourced the best Cubs vs. Reds trends to enhance your research and betting strategy for this matchup.
TJ Friedl to Record an RBI
TJ Friedl has recorded at least one RBI in 9 of his last 23 appearances (39% success rate). You can put money on him to do it again at odds of +290 (26% implied probability), available at DraftKings.
Elly De La Cruz to Record an RBI
Elly De La Cruz has recorded at least one RBI in 4 of his last 11 games (36%). You can place a wager on him to record another one at odds of +230 (30%), also available at DraftKings.
Stuart Fairchild to Record an RBI
Stuart Fairchild has recorded at least one RBI in 7 of his last 18 games (39%). You can bet on him to record at least one RBI again at odds of +230 (30%), again available at DraftKings.
Conclusion
At BettingOdds.com, we're backing Jeimer Candelario of the Reds to get a hit as our top prop bet of the game. Additionally, we are placing a bet on the Reds +1.5 to cover.
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