Cubs vs. Phillies Picks & Best Bets 23rd Sep 2024: MLB Prediction, Betting Odds, Player Props & Trends
The Philadelphia Phillies will go up against the Chicago Cubs in MLB action on Monday at Citizens Bank Park, starting at 6:40 p.m. ET.
We have performed 10,000 simulations of Monday's MLB matchup using innovative AI technology to pinpoint the best Cubs vs. Phillies bets, player props and predictions.
Using these simulations, we predict that the Phillies have a 63% chance of beating the Cubs.
To get the best value from these predictions, we continuously source the best odds for each market. This means that the sportsbooks listed below are currently offering the biggest payouts for the plays identified.
Our Cubs vs. Phillies Betting Picks & Predictions
Today's Cubs vs. Phillies picks fuse the power of AI, stats and analytics to generate MLB picks that are free from the emotional biases often associated with human-made picks.
Cubs vs. Phillies Game Information
- Game Date: Monday, September 23rd, 2024
- Game Time: 6:40 p.m. ET
- Location: Citizens Bank Park
- Run Line: Cubs +1.5 / Phillies -1.5
- Moneyline: Cubs +170 / Phillies -200
- Scoring Total: Over/Under 8 Runs (-102/-115)
Cubs +1.5 @ -118 via DraftKings Sportsbook
- According to our simulations, the Cubs have a 54% chance of covering the run line, while the Phillies have a probability of 46%.
- DraftKings Sportsbook offers the best odds for this bet at -118.
Total Runs Over 8 @ -102 via DraftKings Sportsbook
- The over/under for total runs scored is set at 8 at DraftKings Sportsbook, which offers the best odds for the over at -102.
- Our analysis indicates a 56% chance of the 8-run total going over, providing an edge of 6%.
Cubs vs. Phillies Moneyline Odds
The sportsbooks have released the moneyline odds for this matchup, with the Chicago Cubs at +170 via DraftKings Sportsbook, whilst the Philadelphia Phillies are available at -200 with BetMGM.
According to the model, the Phillies are favored to win this game, with our projections giving them a 63% chance of coming out on top.
Although the Phillies are more likely to win, DraftKings Sportsbook offers +170 odds on the Cubs moneyline, making it our recommended moneyline bet, as it represents the best value currently available.
Chicago Cubs Prediction - Aaron Nola Under 1.5 Walks Allowed (+120)
- Our top prop bet for the Cubs is on Aaron Nola to record under 1.5 walks allowed.
- Our analysis projects this prop to have a probability of 56.4%, providing an edge of 11.0% on the +120 odds offered by BetMGM.
Philadelphia Phillies Prediction - Aaron Nola Under 1.5 Walks Allowed (+120)
- Our best prop bet for the Phillies is on Aaron Nola to have under 1.5 walks allowed.
- According to our analysis, this prop has a probability of 56.4%, giving us an edge of 11.0% on the +120 odds available at BetMGM.
These MLB player props today are based purely on advanced modeling techniques that factor in variables including but not limited to past form and opponent trends, meaning you can trust that there is no bias that comes into play.
Cubs vs. Phillies Betting Trends
In addition to our MLB prop picks, we have sourced the best Cubs vs. Phillies trends to enhance your research and betting strategy for this matchup.
Pete Crow-Armstrong to Hit a Home Run
Pete Crow-Armstrong has hit at least one home run in 2 of his last 10 games (20% of the time). You can put money on him to do it again at odds of +700 (12% implied probability), available at Bet365.
Conclusion
At BettingOdds.com, we're backing Aaron Nola of the Cubs to record under 1.5 walks allowed, with an edge of 11% marking this as our top prop bet of the game. Additionally, we are betting on the Cubs +1.5 to cover.
Beyond our Cubs vs. Phillies predictions, we offer extensive MLB betting tools. These include the latest MLB odds for today and insightful MLB computer picks to elevate your betting game. Discover top picks with our best MLB bets tonight and dive into our MLB insights. Plus, find the best odds and promotions with our guide to the best MLB betting sites.
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