Cubs vs. Orioles Picks & Best Bets 11th Jul 2024: MLB Prediction, Betting Odds, Player Props & Trends
The Baltimore Orioles will face the Chicago Cubs in MLB action on Thursday at Oriole Park at Camden Yards, beginning at 6:35 p.m. ET.
We've performed 10,000 simulations of Thursday's MLB matchup using state-of-the-art AI technology to reveal the best Cubs vs. Orioles bets, player props and predictions.
Our predictions show that the Orioles have a 53% chance of defeating the Cubs.
To get the maximum value from these predictions, we continuously monitor the most favorable odds for each market. This ensures that the sportsbooks listed below are currently offering the highest payouts for the plays identified.
Our Cubs vs. Orioles Betting Picks & Predictions
Today's Cubs vs. Orioles picks combine the power of AI, statistics and analytics to create MLB predictions that are free from the emotional biases typical of human-made picks.
Cubs vs. Orioles Game Information
- Game Date: Thursday, July 11th, 2024
- Game Time: 6:35 p.m. ET
- Location: Oriole Park at Camden Yards
- Run Line: Cubs +1.5 / Orioles -1.5
- Moneyline: Cubs +115 / Orioles -130
- Scoring Total: Over/Under 8.5 Runs (-112/-105)
Cubs +1.5 @ -175 via BetMGM
- According to our simulations, the Cubs have a 65% chance of covering the run line, while the Orioles have a probability of 35%.
- BetMGM offers odds of -175 for the Cubs +1.5, providing a favorable 1.6% edge for them to cover.
Total Runs Over 8.5 @ -112 via DraftKings Sportsbook
- The over/under for total runs scored is set at 8.5 at DraftKings Sportsbook, which offers the best odds for the over at -112.
- Our analysis suggests a 53% chance of the 8.5-run total going over.
Cubs vs. Orioles Moneyline Odds
The sportsbooks have released the moneyline odds for this matchup, with the Chicago Cubs at +115 via BetMGM, whilst the Baltimore Orioles are available at -130 with DraftKings Sportsbook.
According to the model, the Orioles are favored to win this game, with our projections giving them a 53% chance of victory.
Even though the Orioles are more likely to win, BetMGM offers +115 odds on the Cubs moneyline, providing an edge of 0.3%. This makes it our recommended moneyline bet.
Our Player Prop Picks for Cubs vs. Orioles
Here are the best MLB player props for Thursday's Cubs vs. Orioles game.
Chicago Cubs Prediction - Justin Steele Under 5.5 Hits Allowed (+100)
- Our top prop bet for the Cubs is on Justin Steele to record under 5.5 hits allowed.
- Our analysis projects this prop to have a probability of 54.9%, giving us an edge of 4.9% over the +100 odds offered by BetMGM.
Baltimore Orioles Prediction - Colton Cowser To Get a Hit (-130)
- Our best prop bet for the Orioles is on Colton Cowser to get a hit.
- According to our analysis, this prop has a probability of 64.8%, giving us an edge of 8.3% on the -130 odds available at BetMGM.
These MLB player props today are based purely on advanced modeling techniques that factor in variables including but not limited to past form and opponent trends, meaning you can trust that there is no bias that comes into play.
Cubs vs. Orioles Betting Trends
In addition to our MLB prop picks, we have sourced the best Cubs vs. Orioles trends to enhance your research and betting strategy for this game.
Jordan Westburg to Record a Hit
Jordan Westburg has recorded at least one hit in 12 of his last 13 games (92% success rate). You can wager on him to do it again at odds of -220 (69% implied probability), available at DraftKings.
Christopher Morel to Record a Hit
Christopher Morel has recorded at least one hit in 12 of his last 17 appearances (71%). You can place a bet on him to get another one at odds of -210 (68%), also available at DraftKings.
Conclusion
At BettingOdds.com, we're backing Colton Cowser of the Orioles to get a hit as our top prop bet of the game. Additionally, we are placing a bet on the Cubs +1.5 to cover.
Beyond our Cubs vs. Orioles predictions, we offer extensive MLB betting resources. These include the latest MLB odds tonight and insightful MLB predictions to elevate your betting game. Discover top picks with our best MLB bets tonight and dive into our MLB insights. Plus, find the best odds and promotions with our guide to the best MLB betting sites.