Cubs vs. Guardians Picks & Best Bets 12th Aug 2024: MLB Prediction, Betting Odds, Player Props & Trends

The Cleveland Guardians will take on the Chicago Cubs in MLB action on Monday at Progressive Field, starting at 6:40 p.m. ET.
We've conducted 10,000 simulations of Monday's MLB matchup using innovative AI technology to determine the best Cubs vs. Guardians bets, player props and predictions.
Our predictions show that the Cubs have a 52% chance of beating the Guardians.
To get the best value from these predictions, we continuously source the most favorable odds for each market. This ensures that the sportsbooks listed below are currently offering the biggest payouts for the specified plays.
Our Cubs vs. Guardians Betting Picks & Predictions
Today's Cubs vs. Guardians picks combine the power of AI, data and analytics to create MLB predictions that are free from the emotional biases often associated with human-made picks.
Cubs vs. Guardians Game Information
- Game Date: Monday, August 12th, 2024
- Game Time: 6:40 p.m. ET
- Location: Progressive Field
- Run Line: Cubs -1.5 / Guardians +1.5
- Moneyline: Cubs -120 / Guardians +104
- Scoring Total: Over/Under 8 Runs (-102/-115)
Cubs -1.5 @ +145 via BetMGM
- According to our simulations, the Cubs have a 60% chance of covering the run line, while the Cubs have a probability of 40%.
- BetMGM offers the best odds for this bet at +145.
Total Runs Over 8 @ -102 via DraftKings Sportsbook
- The over/under for total runs scored is set at 8 at DraftKings Sportsbook, which offers the best odds for the over at -102.
- Our analysis suggests a 53% probability that the total will go over 8 runs, providing an edge of 2.7%.
Cubs vs. Guardians Moneyline Odds
The sportsbooks have released the moneyline odds for this matchup, with the Chicago Cubs at -120 via BetMGM, whilst the Cleveland Guardians are available at +104 with FanDuel Sportsbook.
According to the model, the Cubs are favored to win this game, with our projections assigning them a 52% chance of victory.
Although the Cubs are more likely to win, FanDuel Sportsbook offers +104 odds on the Guardians moneyline, making it our recommended moneyline bet, as it represents the best value currently available.
Our Player Prop Picks for Cubs vs. Guardians
Here are the best MLB player props for Monday's Cubs vs. Guardians matchup.
Chicago Cubs Prediction - Shota Imanaga Over 1.5 Walks Allowed (+180)
- Our top prop bet for the Cubs is on Shota Imanaga to record over 1.5 walks allowed.
- Our analysis projects this prop to have a probability of 40.2%, providing an edge of 4.5% over the +180 odds offered by DraftKings.
Cleveland Guardians Prediction - Ben Lively Over 4.5 Strikeouts (+104)
- Our best prop bet for the Guardians is on Ben Lively to have over 4.5 strikeouts.
- According to our analysis, this prop has a probability of 60.4%, giving us an edge of 11.4% on the +104 odds available at FanDuel.
These MLB player props today are based purely on advanced modeling techniques that factor in variables including but not limited to past form and opponent trends, meaning you can trust that there is no bias that comes into play.
Cubs vs. Guardians Betting Trends
In addition to our MLB prop picks, we have sourced the best Cubs vs. Guardians trends to enhance your research and betting strategy for this game.
Michael Busch to Record a Hit
Michael Busch has recorded at least one hit in 7 of his last 10 games (70% of the time). You can put money on him to do it again at odds of -185 (65% implied probability), available at DraftKings.
Nico Hoerner to Hit a Home Run
Nico Hoerner has hit at least one home run in 1 of his last 10 games (10%). You can place a wager on him to hit another one at odds of +1400 (7%), also available at DraftKings.
Conclusion
At BettingOdds.com, we're backing Ben Lively of the Guardians to record over 4.5 strikeouts, with an edge of 11.4% marking this as our top prop bet of the game. Additionally, we're betting on the Cubs -1.5 to cover.
In addition to our Cubs vs. Guardians predictions, we offer a wide range of MLB betting resources. These include the latest MLB odds and insightful MLB predictions for today to elevate your betting game. Discover top picks with the best MLB bets and dive into our MLB insights. Plus, find the best odds and promotions with our guide to the top MLB betting sites.