Cardinals vs. Pirates Picks & Best Bets 4th Jul 2024: MLB Prediction, Betting Odds, Player Props & Trends

The Pittsburgh Pirates will face the St. Louis Cardinals in MLB action on Thursday at PNC Park, starting at 12:35 p.m. ET.

We performed 10,000 simulations of Thursday's MLB matchup using advanced AI technology to identify the best Cardinals vs. Pirates bets, player props and predictions.

According to our predictions, the Pirates have a 51% chance of defeating the Cardinals.

To get the best value from these predictions, we continuously source the most favorable odds for each market. This means that the sportsbooks listed below are currently offering the highest payouts for the specified plays.

Our Cardinals vs. Pirates Betting Picks & Predictions

Today's Cardinals vs. Pirates picks combine the power of AI, data and analytics to create MLB predictions that are free from the emotional biases often associated with human-made picks.

Cardinals vs. Pirates Game Information

• Game Date: Thursday, July 4th, 2024
• Game Time: 12:35 p.m. ET
• Location: PNC Park
• Run Line: Cardinals -1.5 / Pirates +1.5
• Moneyline: Cardinals -108 / Pirates -105
• Scoring Total: Over/Under 9 Runs (-105/-110)

Pirates +1.5 @ -165 via BetMGM

• According to our simulations, the Pirates have a 64% chance of covering the run line, while the Cardinals have a probability of 36%.
• BetMGM offers odds of -165 for the Pirates +1.5, presenting a favorable 1.3% edge for them to cover.

Total Runs Under 9 @ -110 via BetMGM

• The over/under for total runs scored is set at 9, with BetMGM offering the best odds for the under at -110.
• Our analysis suggests a 53% likelihood that the total will stay under 9 runs, providing an edge of 0.5%.

Cardinals vs. Pirates Moneyline Odds

The sportsbooks have released the moneyline odds for this matchup, with the St. Louis Cardinals at -108 via DraftKings Sportsbook, whilst the Pittsburgh Pirates are available at -105 with BetMGM.

According to the model, the Pirates are favored to win this game, with our projections assigning them a 51% chance of victory.

Additionally, the Pirates present the best betting value, with the odds of -105 available at BetMGM making it our recommended moneyline bet.

Our Player Prop Picks for Cardinals vs. Pirates

Here are the top MLB player props for Thursday's Cardinals vs. Pirates game.

St. Louis Cardinals Prediction - Andre Pallante Over 5.5 Hits Allowed (+115)

• Our top prop bet for the Cardinals is on Andre Pallante to record over 5.5 hits allowed.
• Our analysis projects this prop to have a probability of 58.1%, providing an edge of 11.6% the +115 odds offered by BetMGM.

Pittsburgh Pirates Prediction - Jack Suwinski To Get a HR (+900)

• Our best prop bet for the Pirates is on Jack Suwinski to hit a home run.
• According to our analysis, there is a probability of 18.0% that he will go yard, providing an edge of 8.0% on the +900 odds available at BetMGM.

These MLB player props today are based purely on advanced modeling techniques that factor in variables including but not limited to past form and opponent trends, meaning you can trust that there is no bias that comes into play.

Cardinals vs. Pirates Betting Trends

In addition to our MLB prop picks, we have sourced the best Cardinals vs. Pirates trends to enhance your research and betting strategy for this matchup.

Bryan Reynolds to Record an RBI

Bryan Reynolds has recorded at least one RBI in 7 of his last 12 appearances (58% success rate). You can wager on him to do it again at odds of +180 (36% implied probability), available at DraftKings.

Conclusion

At BettingOdds.com, we're backing Andre Pallante of the Cardinals to record over 5.5 hits allowed, with an edge of 11.6% marking this as our top prop bet of the game. Additionally, we are placing a bet on the Pirates +1.5 to cover.

In addition to our Cardinals vs. Pirates predictions, we offer extensive MLB betting resources. These include the latest MLB odds and insightful MLB predictions today to elevate your betting game. Discover top picks with the best MLB bets today and dive into MLB sports journalists' insights. Plus, find the best odds and promotions with our guide to the best MLB betting sites.