Brewers vs. Padres Picks & Best Bets 21st Jun 2024: MLB Prediction, Betting Odds, Player Props & Trends

The San Diego Padres will face the Milwaukee Brewers in MLB action on Friday at PETCO Park, beginning at 9:40 p.m. ET.

We have performed 10,000 simulations of Friday's MLB matchup using state-of-the-art AI technology to reveal the best Brewers vs. Padres bets, player props and predictions.

Based on these simulations, we predict that the Padres have a 60% chance of defeating the Brewers.

To get the best value from these predictions, we constantly source the most favorable odds for each market. This means that the sportsbooks listed below are currently offering the biggest payouts for the plays identified.

Our Brewers vs. Padres Betting Picks & Predictions

Today's Brewers vs. Padres picks fuse the power of AI, data and analytics to generate MLB predictions that are free from the emotional biases typical of human-made picks.

Brewers vs. Padres Game Information

• Game Date: Friday, June 21st, 2024
• Game Time: 9:40 p.m. ET
• Location: PETCO Park
• Run Line: Brewers +1.5 / Padres -1.5
• Moneyline: Brewers +140 / Padres -156
• Scoring Total: Over/Under 7.5 Runs (-115/-105)

Brewers +1.5 @ -155 via BetMGM

• According to our simulations, the Brewers have a 60% chance of covering the run line, while the Padres have a probability of 40%.
• BetMGM offers the best odds for this bet at -155.

Total Runs Under 7.5 @ -105 via DraftKings Sportsbook

• The over/under for total runs scored is set at 7.5 at DraftKings Sportsbook, which offers the best odds for the under at -105.
• Our analysis suggests a slightly higher chance of the 7.5-run total staying under, which presents better value compared to betting on the over.

Brewers vs. Padres Moneyline Odds

The sportsbooks have released the moneyline odds for this matchup, with the Milwaukee Brewers at +140 via DraftKings Sportsbook, whilst the San Diego Padres are available at -156 with FanDuel Sportsbook.

According to the model, the Padres are favored to win this game, with our projections giving them a 60% chance of prevailing.

Not only are they favored to win, but the Padres also present the best betting value, with the odds of -156 available at FanDuel Sportsbook making it our recommended moneyline bet.

Our Player Prop Picks for Brewers vs. Padres

Here are the best MLB player props for Friday's Brewers vs. Padres game.

Milwaukee Brewers Prediction - Colin Rea Over 3.5 Strikeouts (+115)

• Our top prop bet for the Brewers is on Colin Rea to record over 3.5 strikeouts.
• Our analysis projects this prop to have a probability of 57.8%, providing an edge of 11.2% the +115 odds offered by DraftKings.

San Diego Padres Prediction - Dylan Cease Under 17.5 Outs (+120)

• Our best prop bet for the Padres is on Dylan Cease to have under 17.5 outs.
• According to our analysis, this prop has a probability of 57.7%, giving us an edge of 12.2% on the +120 odds available at BetMGM.

These MLB player props today are based purely on advanced modeling techniques that factor in variables including but not limited to past form and opponent trends, meaning you can trust that there is no bias that comes into play.

Brewers vs. Padres Betting Trends

In addition to our MLB prop picks, we have compiled the best Brewers vs. Padres trends to enhance your research and betting strategy for this matchup.

Jackson Chourio to Record an RBI

Jackson Chourio has recorded at least one RBI in 5 of his last 11 appearances (45% success rate). You can bet on him to do it again at odds of +300 (25% implied probability), available at DraftKings.

Joey Ortiz to Record an RBI

Joey Ortiz has recorded at least one RBI in 8 of his last 23 appearances (35%). You can place a bet on him to record another one at odds of +225 (31%), also available at DraftKings.

Joey Ortiz to Record a Hit

Joey Ortiz has recorded at least one hit in 14 of his last 19 appearances (74%). You can bet on him to record at least one hit again at odds of -180 (64%), again available at DraftKings.

Conclusion

At BettingOdds.com, we're backing Dylan Cease of the Padres to record under 17.5 outs, with an edge of 12.2% marking this as our top prop bet of the game. Additionally, we're placing a bet on the Brewers +1.5 to cover.

In addition to our Brewers vs. Padres predictions, we offer a wide range of MLB betting tools. These include the latest MLB betting odds and insightful MLB computer picks to elevate your betting game. Discover top picks with our best MLB bets tonight and dive into our MLB expert insights. Plus, find the best odds and promotions with our guide to the best MLB betting sites.