Braves vs. Padres Picks & Best Bets 14th Jul 2024: MLB Prediction, Betting Odds, Player Props & Trends

The San Diego Padres will go up against the Atlanta Braves in MLB action on Sunday at PETCO Park, starting at 4:10 p.m. ET.

We have conducted 10,000 simulations of Sunday's MLB matchup using state-of-the-art AI technology to determine the best Braves vs. Padres bets, player props and predictions.

According to our predictions, the Braves have a 58% chance of defeating the Padres.

To maximize the value of predictions like this, we continually monitor the best odds for each market. This means that the sportsbooks listed below are currently offering the biggest payouts for the plays identified.

Our Braves vs. Padres Betting Picks & Predictions

Today's Braves vs. Padres picks fuse the power of AI, stats and analytics to produce MLB picks that are free from the emotional biases often associated with human-made picks.

Braves vs. Padres Game Information

• Game Date: Sunday, July 14th, 2024
• Game Time: 4:10 p.m. ET
• Location: PETCO Park
• Run Line: Braves -1.5 / Padres +1.5
• Moneyline: Braves -166 / Padres +145
• Scoring Total: Over/Under 7 Runs (-118/+100)

Padres +1.5 @ -120 via BetMGM

• According to our simulations, the Padres have a 55% chance of covering the run line, while the Braves have a probability of 45%.
• BetMGM offers odds of -120 for the Padres +1.5, presenting a favorable 0.4% edge for them to cover.

Total Runs Over 7 @ -118 via DraftKings Sportsbook

• The over/under for total runs scored is set at 7 at DraftKings Sportsbook, which offers the best odds for the over at -118.
• Our analysis indicates a 53% chance of the 7-run total going over.

Braves vs. Padres Moneyline Odds

The sportsbooks have released the moneyline odds for this matchup, with the Atlanta Braves at -166 via DraftKings Sportsbook, whilst the San Diego Padres are available at +145 with BetMGM.

According to the model, the Braves are favored to win this game, with our projections giving them a 58% chance of coming out on top.

Even though the Braves are more likely to win, BetMGM offers +145 odds on the Padres moneyline, providing an edge of 0.9%. This makes it our recommended moneyline bet.

Our Player Prop Picks for Braves vs. Padres

Here are the best MLB player props for Sunday's Braves vs. Padres matchup.

Atlanta Braves Prediction - Chris Sale Over 7.5 Strikeouts (+130)

• Our top prop bet for the Braves is on Chris Sale to record over 7.5 strikeouts.
• Our analysis projects this prop to have a probability of 52.6%, giving us an edge of 9.1% the +130 odds offered by BetMGM.

San Diego Padres Prediction - Randy Vasquez Under 2.5 Earned Runs (-105)

• Our best prop bet for the Padres is on Randy Vasquez to have under 2.5 earned runs.
• According to our analysis, this prop has a probability of 62.8%, giving us an edge of 11.6% on the -105 odds available at DraftKings.

These MLB player props today are based purely on advanced modeling techniques that factor in variables including but not limited to past form and opponent trends, meaning you can trust that there is no bias that comes into play.

Braves vs. Padres Betting Trends

In addition to our MLB prop picks, we have sourced the best Braves vs. Padres trends to enhance your research and betting strategy for this game.

Kyle Higashioka to Record an RBI

Kyle Higashioka has recorded at least one RBI in 6 of his last 12 games (50% success rate). You can put money on him to do it again at odds of +275 (27% implied probability), available at DraftKings.

Xander Bogaerts to Record an RBI

Xander Bogaerts has recorded at least one RBI in 3 of his last 10 appearances (30%). You can place a wager on him to record another one at odds of +235 (30%), also available at DraftKings.

Luis Arraez to Record an RBI

Luis Arraez has recorded at least one RBI in 5 of his last 20 appearances (25%). You can wager on him to record at least one RBI again at odds of +320 (24%), again available at DraftKings.

Conclusion

At BettingOdds.com, we're backing Randy Vasquez of the Padres to record under 2.5 earned runs, with an edge of 11.6% marking this as our top prop bet of the game. Additionally, we are betting on the Padres +1.5 to cover.

Beyond our Braves vs. Padres predictions, we offer extensive MLB betting tools. These include the latest MLB odds and insightful MLB predictions to elevate your betting game. Discover top picks with our best MLB bets and dive into expert MLB insights. Plus, find the best odds and promotions with our guide to the best MLB betting sites.