Braves vs. Padres Picks & Best Bets 12th Jul 2024: MLB Prediction, Betting Odds, Player Props & Trends

The San Diego Padres will take on the Atlanta Braves in MLB action on Friday at PETCO Park, starting at 9:40 p.m. ET.

We've run 10,000 simulations of Friday's MLB matchup using innovative AI technology to reveal the best Braves vs. Padres bets, player props and predictions.

Based on these simulations, we predict that the Padres have a 52% chance of beating the Braves.

To get the maximum value from these predictions, we constantly monitor the best odds for each market. This ensures that the sportsbooks listed below are currently offering the highest payouts for the plays identified.

Our Braves vs. Padres Betting Picks & Predictions

Today's Braves vs. Padres picks combine the power of AI, stats and analytics to produce MLB predictions that are free from the emotional biases often associated with human-made picks.

Braves vs. Padres Game Information

• Game Date: Friday, July 12th, 2024
• Game Time: 9:40 p.m. ET
• Location: PETCO Park
• Run Line: Braves -1.5 / Padres +1.5
• Moneyline: Braves +102 / Padres -118
• Scoring Total: Over/Under 7.5 Runs (-125/-105)

Braves -1.5 @ +170 via DraftKings Sportsbook

• According to our simulations, the Braves have a 65% chance of covering the run line, while the Braves have a probability of 35%.
• DraftKings Sportsbook offers the best odds for this bet at +170.

Total Runs Over 7.5 @ -125 via BetMGM

• The over/under for total runs scored is set at 7.5 at BetMGM, which offers the best odds for the over at -125.
• Our analysis indicates a 55% probability that the total will go over 7.5 runs.

Braves vs. Padres Moneyline Odds

The sportsbooks have released the moneyline odds for this matchup, with the Atlanta Braves at +102 via DraftKings Sportsbook, whilst the San Diego Padres are available at -118 with FanDuel Sportsbook.

According to the model, the Padres are favored to win this game, with our projections assigning them a 52% chance of coming out on top.

Although the Padres are more likely to win, DraftKings Sportsbook offers +102 odds on the Braves moneyline, making it our recommended moneyline bet, as it represents the best value currently available.

Our Player Prop Picks for Braves vs. Padres

Here are the top MLB player props for Friday's Braves vs. Padres matchup.

Atlanta Braves Prediction - Orlando Arcia To Get a Hit (-145)

• Our top prop bet for the Braves is on Orlando Arcia to get a hit.
• Our analysis projects this prop to have a probability of 63.0%, providing an edge of 3.9% the -145 odds offered by BetMGM.

San Diego Padres Prediction - Matt Waldron Under 4.5 Strikeouts (+126)

• Our best prop bet for the Padres is on Matt Waldron to have under 4.5 strikeouts.
• According to our analysis, this prop has a probability of 57.7%, giving us an edge of 13.5% on the +126 odds available at FanDuel.

These MLB player props today are based purely on advanced modeling techniques that factor in variables including but not limited to past form and opponent trends, meaning you can trust that there is no bias that comes into play.

Braves vs. Padres Betting Trends

In addition to our MLB prop picks, we have sourced the best Braves vs. Padres trends to enhance your research and betting strategy for this matchup.

Kyle Higashioka to Record an RBI

Kyle Higashioka has recorded at least one RBI in 6 of his last 11 appearances (55% success rate). You can wager on him to do it again at odds of +235 (30% implied probability), available at DraftKings.

Kyle Higashioka to Record a Hit

Kyle Higashioka has recorded at least one hit in 9 of his last 11 appearances (82%). You can make a bet that he'll get another one at odds of -140 (58%), also available at DraftKings.

Manny Machado to Record an RBI

Manny Machado has recorded at least one RBI in 8 of his last 18 appearances (44%). You can wager on him to record at least one RBI again at odds of +150 (40%), again available at DraftKings.

Conclusion

At BettingOdds.com, we're backing Matt Waldron of the Padres to record under 4.5 strikeouts, with an edge of 13.5% marking this as our top prop bet of the game. Additionally, we are placing a bet on the Braves -1.5 to cover.

In addition to our Braves vs. Padres predictions, we offer a wide range of MLB betting tools. These include the latest MLB betting odds and insightful MLB predictions for today to elevate your betting game. Discover top picks with the best MLB bets today and dive into our MLB insights. Plus, find the best odds and promotions with our guide to the top online MLB betting sites.