Braves vs. Mets Picks & Best Bets 28th Jul 2024: MLB Prediction, Betting Odds, Player Props & Trends

The New York Mets will meet the Atlanta Braves in MLB action on Sunday at Citi Field, beginning at 1:40 p.m. ET.

We've conducted 10,000 simulations of Sunday's MLB matchup using innovative AI technology to highlight the best Braves vs. Mets bets, player props and predictions.

Using these simulations, we predict that the Mets have a 54% chance of defeating the Braves.

To maximize the value of predictions like this, we constantly monitor the most favorable odds for each market. This ensures that the sportsbooks listed below are currently offering the highest payouts for the specified plays.

Our Braves vs. Mets Betting Picks & Predictions

Today's Braves vs. Mets picks combine the power of AI, stats and analytics to produce MLB picks that are free from the emotional biases typical of human-made picks.

Braves vs. Mets Game Information

• Game Date: Sunday, July 28th, 2024
• Game Time: 1:40 p.m. ET
• Location: Citi Field
• Run Line: Braves -1.5 / Mets +1.5
• Moneyline: Braves -104 / Mets -110
• Scoring Total: Over/Under 8 Runs (-105/-110)

Mets +1.5 @ -190 via BetMGM

• According to our simulations, the Mets have a 67% chance of covering the run line, while the Braves have a probability of 33%.
• BetMGM offers odds of -190 for the Mets +1.5, providing a favorable 1.9% edge for them to cover.

Total Runs Over 8 @ -105 via DraftKings Sportsbook

• The over/under for total runs scored is set at 8 at DraftKings Sportsbook, which offers the best odds for the over at -105.
• Our analysis indicates a 51% likelihood of the 8-run total going over.

Braves vs. Mets Moneyline Odds

The sportsbooks have released the moneyline odds for this matchup, with the Atlanta Braves at -104 via FanDuel Sportsbook, whilst the New York Mets are available at -110 with BetMGM.

According to the model, the Mets are favored to win this game, with our projections giving them a 54% chance of victory.

Additionally, the Mets present the best betting value, with the odds of -110 available at BetMGM for an edge of 2.9%.

Our Player Prop Picks for Braves vs. Mets

Here are the best MLB player props for Sunday's Braves vs. Mets game.

Atlanta Braves Prediction - Luke Williams To Get a Hit (-105)

• Our top prop bet for the Braves is on Luke Williams to get a hit.
• Our analysis projects this prop to have a probability of 55.3%, giving us an edge of 4.1% on the -105 odds offered by BetMGM.

New York Mets Prediction - David Peterson Under 4.5 Hits Allowed (+115)

• Our best prop bet for the Mets is on David Peterson to have under 4.5 hits allowed.
• According to our analysis, this prop has a probability of 54.7%, giving us an edge of 8.2% on the +115 odds available at BetMGM.

These MLB player props today are based purely on advanced modeling techniques that factor in variables including but not limited to past form and opponent trends, meaning you can trust that there is no bias that comes into play.

Braves vs. Mets Betting Trends

In addition to our MLB prop picks, we have sourced the best Braves vs. Mets trends to enhance your research and betting strategy for this matchup.

Ramón Laureano to Record an RBI

Ramón Laureano has recorded at least one RBI in 4 of his last 11 games (36% success rate). You can wager on him to do it again at odds of +245 (29% implied probability), available at DraftKings.

Travis d'Arnaud to Record an RBI

Travis d'Arnaud has recorded at least one RBI in 4 of his last 10 appearances (40%). You can place a bet on him to record another one at odds of +200 (33%), also available at DraftKings.

Conclusion

At BettingOdds.com, we're backing David Peterson of the Mets to record under 4.5 hits allowed, with an edge of 8.2% marking this as our top prop bet of the game. Additionally, we're betting on the Mets +1.5 to cover.

Beyond our Braves vs. Mets predictions, we offer a wide range of MLB betting tools. These include the latest MLB betting odds and insightful MLB predictions for today to elevate your betting game. Discover top picks with our best MLB bets and dive into our MLB expert insights. Plus, find the best odds and promotions with our guide to the best MLB betting sites.