Braves vs. Diamondbacks Picks & Best Bets 11th Jul 2024: MLB Prediction, Betting Odds, Player Props & Trends
The Arizona Diamondbacks will go up against the Atlanta Braves in MLB action on Thursday at Chase Field, starting at 9:40 p.m. ET.
We conducted 10,000 simulations of Thursday's MLB matchup using cutting-edge AI technology to pinpoint the best Braves vs. Diamondbacks bets, player props and predictions.
Using these simulations, we predict that the Braves have a 52% chance of beating the Diamondbacks.
To get the maximum value from these predictions, we continuously monitor the most favorable odds for each market. This means that the sportsbooks listed below are currently offering the biggest payouts for the specified plays.
Our Braves vs. Diamondbacks Betting Picks & Predictions
Today's Braves vs. Diamondbacks picks fuse the power of AI, stats and analytics to produce MLB picks that are free from the emotional biases often associated with human-made picks.
Braves vs. Diamondbacks Game Information
- Game Date: Thursday, July 11th, 2024
- Game Time: 9:40 p.m. ET
- Location: Chase Field
- Run Line: Braves -1.5 / Diamondbacks +1.5
- Moneyline: Braves -118 / Diamondbacks +100
- Scoring Total: Over/Under 8 Runs (-102/-110)
Diamondbacks +1.5 @ -164 via FanDuel Sportsbook
- According to our simulations, the Diamondbacks have a 62% chance of covering the run line, while the Braves have a probability of 38%.
- FanDuel Sportsbook offers the best odds for this bet at -164.
Total Runs Over 8 @ -102 via DraftKings Sportsbook
- The over/under for total runs scored is set at 8, with DraftKings Sportsbook offering the best odds for the over at -102.
- Our analysis indicates a 52% likelihood of the 8-run total going over, providing an edge of 1.9%.
Braves vs. Diamondbacks Moneyline Odds
The sportsbooks have released the moneyline odds for this matchup, with the Atlanta Braves at -118 via DraftKings Sportsbook, whilst the Arizona Diamondbacks are available at +100 with BetMGM.
According to the model, the Braves are favored to win this game, with our projections giving them a 52% chance of victory.
Even though the Braves are more likely to win, BetMGM offers -100 odds on the Diamondbacks moneyline, making it our recommended moneyline bet, as it represents the best value currently available.
Our Player Prop Picks for Braves vs. Diamondbacks
Here are the best MLB player props for Thursday's Braves vs. Diamondbacks game.
Atlanta Braves Prediction - Orlando Arcia To Get a Hit (-140)
- Our top prop bet for the Braves is on Orlando Arcia to get a hit.
- Our analysis projects this prop to have a probability of 67.5%, providing an edge of 9.2% over the -140 odds offered by BetMGM.
Arizona Diamondbacks Prediction - Geraldo Perdomo To Get a Hit (-150)
- Our best prop bet for the Diamondbacks is on Geraldo Perdomo to get a hit.
- According to our analysis, this prop has a probability of 70.4%, providing an edge of 10.4% on the -150 odds available at BetMGM.
These MLB player props today are based purely on advanced modeling techniques that factor in variables including but not limited to past form and opponent trends, meaning you can trust that there is no bias that comes into play.
Braves vs. Diamondbacks Betting Trends
In addition to our MLB prop picks, we have sourced the best Braves vs. Diamondbacks trends to enhance your research and betting strategy for this game.
Christian Walker to Record an RBI
Christian Walker has recorded at least one RBI in 7 of his last 10 games (70% success rate). You can put money on him to do it again at odds of +165 (38% implied probability), available at DraftKings.
Gabriel Moreno to Record a Hit
Gabriel Moreno has recorded at least one hit in 7 of his last 10 games (70%). You can make a bet that he'll get another one at odds of -230 (70%), also available at DraftKings.
Sean Murphy to Record an RBI
Sean Murphy has recorded at least one RBI in 3 of his last 10 games (30%). You can wager on him to record at least one RBI again at odds of +245 (29%), again available at DraftKings.
Conclusion
At BettingOdds.com, we're backing Geraldo Perdomo of the D-Backs to get a hit as our top prop bet of the game. Additionally, we're betting on the Diamondbacks +1.5 to cover.
In addition to our Braves vs. Diamondbacks predictions, we offer a wide range of MLB betting tools. These include the latest MLB odds and insightful MLB predictions for today to elevate your betting game. Discover top picks with the MLB best bets today and dive into our MLB expert insights. Plus, find the best odds and promotions with our guide to the best MLB betting sites.