Athletics vs. Red Sox Picks & Best Bets 11th Jul 2024: MLB Prediction, Betting Odds, Player Props & Trends
The Boston Red Sox will take on the Oakland Athletics in MLB action on Thursday at Fenway Park, beginning at 7:10 p.m. ET.
We run 10,000 simulations of Thursday's MLB matchup using advanced AI technology to highlight the best Athletics vs. Red Sox bets, player props and predictions.
According to our predictions, the Red Sox have a 63% chance of beating the Athletics.
To maximize the value of predictions like this, we constantly source the most favorable odds for each market. This ensures that the sportsbooks listed below are currently offering the biggest payouts for the specified plays.
Our Athletics vs. Red Sox Betting Picks & Predictions
Today's Athletics vs. Red Sox picks fuse the power of AI, stats and analytics to create MLB picks that are free from the emotional biases often associated with human-made picks.
Athletics vs. Red Sox Game Information
- Game Date: Thursday, July 11th, 2024
- Game Time: 7:10 p.m. ET
- Location: Fenway Park
- Run Line: Athletics +1.5 / Red Sox -1.5
- Moneyline: Athletics +195 / Red Sox -230
- Scoring Total: Over/Under 10 Runs (-105/-115)
Athletics +1.5 @ +105 via BetMGM
- According to our simulations, the Athletics have a 53% chance of covering the run line, while the Red Sox have a probability of 47%.
- BetMGM offers odds of +105 for the Athletics +1.5, presenting a favorable 3.8% edge for them to cover.
Total Runs Under 10 @ -115 via DraftKings Sportsbook
- The over/under for total runs scored is set at 10, with DraftKings Sportsbook offering the best odds for the under at -115.
- Our analysis indicates a 53% chance of the 10-run total staying under.
Athletics vs. Red Sox Moneyline Odds
The sportsbooks have released the moneyline odds for this matchup, with the Oakland Athletics at +195 via BetMGM, whilst the Boston Red Sox are available at -230 with FanDuel Sportsbook.
According to the model, the Red Sox are favored to win this game, with our projections assigning them a 63% chance of prevailing.
Although the Red Sox are more likely to win, BetMGM offers +195 odds on the Athletics moneyline, providing an edge of 3%. This makes it our recommended moneyline bet.
Our Player Prop Picks for Athletics vs. Red Sox
Here are the best MLB player props for Thursday's Athletics vs. Red Sox game.
Oakland Athletics Prediction - Luis Medina Over 2.5 Walks Allowed (+140)
- Our top prop bet for the Athletics is on Luis Medina to record over 2.5 walks allowed.
- Our analysis projects this prop to have a probability of 53.6%, giving us an edge of 12.0% over the +140 odds offered by BetMGM.
Boston Red Sox Prediction - Tanner Houck Under 6.5 Strikeouts (-125)
- Our best prop bet for the Red Sox is on Tanner Houck to have under 6.5 strikeouts.
- According to our analysis, this prop has a probability of 63.8%, providing an edge of 8.2% on the -125 odds available at BetMGM.
These MLB player props today are based purely on advanced modeling techniques that factor in variables including but not limited to past form and opponent trends, meaning you can trust that there is no bias that comes into play.
Athletics vs. Red Sox Betting Trends
In addition to our MLB prop picks, we have compiled the best Athletics vs. Red Sox trends to enhance your research and betting strategy for this matchup.
Connor Wong to Record a Hit
Connor Wong has recorded at least one hit in 19 of his last 23 appearances (83% of the time). You can bet on him to do it again at odds of -245 (71% implied probability), available at DraftKings.
Conclusion
At BettingOdds.com, we're backing Luis Medina of the Athletics to record over 2.5 walks allowed, with an edge of 12% marking this as our top prop bet of the game. Additionally, we are betting on the Athletics +1.5 to cover.
In addition to our Athletics vs. Red Sox predictions, we offer a wide range of MLB betting resources. These include the latest MLB odds and insightful MLB computer picks to elevate your betting game. Discover top picks with our best MLB bets tonight and dive into expert MLB insights. Plus, find the best odds and promotions with our guide to the top MLB betting sites.