Astros vs. Twins Picks & Best Bets 7th Jul 2024: MLB Prediction, Betting Odds, Player Props & Trends

The Minnesota Twins will face the Houston Astros in MLB action on Sunday at Target Field, starting at 2:10 p.m. ET.

We've conducted 10,000 simulations of Sunday's MLB matchup using cutting-edge AI technology to reveal the best Astros vs. Twins bets, player props and predictions.

According to our predictions, the Twins have a 55% chance of beating the Astros.

To get the best value from these predictions, we continuously source the most favorable odds for each market. This ensures that the sportsbooks listed below are currently offering the biggest payouts for the specified plays.

Our Astros vs. Twins Betting Picks & Predictions

Today's Astros vs. Twins picks fuse the power of AI, data and analytics to generate MLB predictions that are free from the emotional biases often associated with human-made picks.

Astros vs. Twins Game Information

• Game Date: Sunday, July 7th, 2024
• Game Time: 2:10 p.m. ET
• Location: Target Field
• Run Line: Astros +1.5 / Twins -1.5
• Moneyline: Astros +126 / Twins -148
• Scoring Total: Over/Under 8.5 Runs (-118/+100)

Astros +1.5 @ -160 via BetMGM

• According to our simulations, the Astros have a 63% chance of covering the run line, while the Twins have a probability of 37%.
• BetMGM offers odds of -160 for the Astros +1.5, providing a favorable 1.6% edge for them to cover.

Total Runs Under 8.5 @ +100 via BetMGM

• The over/under for total runs scored is set at 8.5, with BetMGM offering the best odds for the under at +100.
• Our analysis suggests a 49% chance that the total will stay under 8.5 runs, which presents greater value compared to betting on the over.

Astros vs. Twins Moneyline Odds

The sportsbooks have released the moneyline odds for this matchup, with the Houston Astros at +126 via FanDuel Sportsbook, whilst the Minnesota Twins are available at -148 with DraftKings Sportsbook.

According to the model, the Twins are favored to win this game, with our projections assigning them a 55% chance of coming out on top.

Even though the Twins are more likely to win, FanDuel Sportsbook offers +126 odds on the Astros moneyline, providing an edge of 0.9%. This makes it our recommended moneyline bet.

Our Player Prop Picks for Astros vs. Twins

Here are the top MLB player props for Sunday's Astros vs. Twins matchup.

Houston Astros Prediction - Spencer Arrighetti Under 5.5 Strikeouts (-120)

• Our top prop bet for the Astros is on Spencer Arrighetti to record under 5.5 strikeouts.
• Our analysis projects this prop to have a probability of 60.5%, providing an edge of 6.0% the -120 odds offered by BetMGM.

Minnesota Twins Prediction - Brooks Lee To Get a Hit (-190)

• Our best prop bet for the Twins is on Brooks Lee to get a hit.
• According to our analysis, this prop has a probability of 73.3%, giving us an edge of 7.8% on the -190 odds available at BetMGM.

These MLB player props today are based purely on advanced modeling techniques that factor in variables including but not limited to past form and opponent trends, meaning you can trust that there is no bias that comes into play.

Astros vs. Twins Betting Trends

In addition to our MLB prop picks, we have sourced the best Astros vs. Twins trends to enhance your research and betting strategy for this game.

Jake Meyers to Record an RBI

Jake Meyers has recorded at least one RBI in 6 of his last 11 games (55% of the time). You can bet on him to do it again at odds of +190 (34% implied probability), available at DraftKings.

Chas McCormick to Record an RBI

Chas McCormick has recorded at least one RBI in 5 of his last 15 games (33%). You can place a bet on him to record another one at odds of +220 (31%), also available at DraftKings.

Mauricio Dubón to Record an RBI

Mauricio Dubón has recorded at least one RBI in 6 of his last 15 appearances (40%). You can bet on him to record at least one RBI again at odds of +190 (34%), again available at DraftKings.

Conclusion

At BettingOdds.com, we're backing Brooks Lee of the Twins to get a hit as our top prop bet of the game. Additionally, we're placing a bet on the Astros +1.5 to cover.

In addition to our Astros vs. Twins predictions, we offer a wide range of MLB betting tools. These include the latest MLB betting odds and insightful MLB computer picks to elevate your betting game. Discover top picks with the best MLB bets and dive into our MLB insights. Plus, find the best odds and promotions with our guide to the top online MLB betting sites.