Astros vs. Twins Picks & Best Bets 5th Jul 2024: MLB Prediction, Betting Odds, Player Props & Trends

The Minnesota Twins will take on the Houston Astros in MLB action on Friday at Target Field, starting at 8:10 p.m. ET.

We've run 10,000 simulations of Friday's MLB matchup using innovative AI technology to reveal the best Astros vs. Twins bets, player props and predictions.

Our predictions show that the Twins have a 57% chance of beating the Astros.

To maximize the value of predictions like this, we continuously source the best odds for each market. This means that the sportsbooks listed below are currently offering the biggest payouts for the plays identified.

Our Astros vs. Twins Betting Picks & Predictions

Today's Astros vs. Twins picks combine the power of AI, statistics and analytics to create MLB picks that are free from the emotional biases typical of human-made picks.

Astros vs. Twins Game Information

• Game Date: Friday, July 5th, 2024
• Game Time: 8:10 p.m. ET
• Location: Target Field
• Run Line: Astros +1.5 / Twins -1.5
• Moneyline: Astros +130 / Twins -154
• Scoring Total: Over/Under 8 Runs (-102/-106)

Astros +1.5 @ -160 via BetMGM

• According to our simulations, the Astros have a 60% chance of covering the run line, while the Twins have a probability of 40%.
• BetMGM offers the best odds for this bet at -160.

Total Runs Over 8 @ -102 via DraftKings Sportsbook

• The over/under for total runs scored is set at 8, with DraftKings Sportsbook offering the best odds for the over at -102.
• Our analysis shows a 51% likelihood of the 8-run total going over, providing an edge of 0.4%.

Astros vs. Twins Moneyline Odds

The sportsbooks have released the moneyline odds for this matchup, with the Houston Astros at +130 via DraftKings Sportsbook, whilst the Minnesota Twins are available at -154 with FanDuel Sportsbook.

According to the model, the Twins are favored to win this game, with our projections assigning them a 57% chance of coming out on top.

Even though the Twins are more likely to win, DraftKings Sportsbook offers +130 odds on the Astros moneyline, making it our recommended moneyline bet, as it represents the best value currently available.

Our Player Prop Picks for Astros vs. Twins

Here are the top MLB player props for Friday's Astros vs. Twins matchup.

Houston Astros Prediction - Cesar Salazar To Get a Hit (-110)

• Our top prop bet for the Astros is on Cesar Salazar to get a hit.
• Our analysis projects this prop to have a probability of 53.3%, giving us an edge of 1.0% the -110 odds offered by BetMGM.

Minnesota Twins Prediction - Manuel Margot To Get a Hit (-185)

• Our best prop bet for the Twins is on Manuel Margot to get a hit.
• According to our analysis, this prop has a probability of 70.8%, providing an edge of 5.9% on the -185 odds available at BetMGM.

These MLB player props today are based purely on advanced modeling techniques that factor in variables including but not limited to past form and opponent trends, meaning you can trust that there is no bias that comes into play.

Astros vs. Twins Betting Trends

In addition to our MLB prop picks, we have sourced the best Astros vs. Twins trends to enhance your research and betting strategy for this game.

Willi Castro to Record a Hit

Willi Castro has recorded at least one hit in 13 of his last 16 appearances (81% of the time). You can wager on him to do it again at odds of -225 (69% implied probability), available at DraftKings.

Mauricio Dubón to Record an RBI

Mauricio Dubón has recorded at least one RBI in 6 of his last 13 appearances (46%). You can place a wager on him to record another one at odds of +205 (33%), also available at DraftKings.

Jon Singleton to Record an RBI

Jon Singleton has recorded at least one RBI in 4 of his last 10 games (40%). You can bet on him to record at least one RBI again at odds of +240 (29%), again available at DraftKings.

Conclusion

At BettingOdds.com, we're backing Manuel Margot of the Twins to get a hit as our top prop bet of the game. Additionally, we're placing a bet on the Astros +1.5 to cover.

Beyond our Astros vs. Twins predictions, we offer extensive MLB betting resources. These include the latest MLB odds for today and insightful MLB expert picks to elevate your betting game. Discover top picks with the best MLB bets today and dive into MLB sports journalists' insights. Plus, find the best odds and promotions with our guide to the best MLB betting sites.