Astros vs. Reds Picks & Best Bets 5th Sep 2024: MLB Prediction, Betting Odds, Player Props & Trends

The Cincinnati Reds will meet the Houston Astros in MLB action on Thursday at Great American Ball Park, starting at 1:10 p.m. ET.

We run 10,000 simulations of Thursday's MLB matchup using cutting-edge AI technology to pinpoint the best Astros vs. Reds bets, player props and predictions.

According to our predictions, the Astros have a 60% chance of defeating the Reds.

To maximize the value of predictions like this, we constantly monitor the most favorable odds for each market. This ensures that the sportsbooks listed below are currently offering the biggest payouts for the plays identified.

Our Astros vs. Reds Betting Picks & Predictions

Today's Astros vs. Reds picks combine the power of AI, statistics and analytics to create MLB picks that are free from the emotional biases typical of human-made picks.

Astros vs. Reds Game Information

• Game Date: Thursday, September 5th, 2024
• Game Time: 1:10 p.m. ET
• Location: Great American Ball Park
• Run Line: Astros -1.5 / Reds +1.5
• Moneyline: Astros -155 / Reds +136
• Scoring Total: Over/Under 9 Runs (-115/+100)

Reds +1.5 @ -120 via BetMGM

• According to our simulations, the Reds have a 53% chance of covering the run line, while the Astros have a probability of 47%.
• BetMGM offers the best odds for this bet at -120.

Total Runs Over 9 @ -115 via DraftKings Sportsbook

• The over/under for total runs scored is set at 9, with DraftKings Sportsbook offering the best odds for the over at -115.
• Our analysis indicates a 53% likelihood of the 9-run total going over.

Astros vs. Reds Moneyline Odds

The sportsbooks have released the moneyline odds for this matchup, with the Houston Astros at -155 via BetMGM, whilst the Cincinnati Reds are available at +136 with DraftKings Sportsbook.

According to the model, the Astros are favored to win this game, with our projections assigning them a 60% chance of coming out on top.

Not only are they favored to win, but the Astros also present the best betting value, with the odds of -155 available at BetMGM making it our recommended moneyline bet.

Our Player Prop Picks for Astros vs. Reds

Here are the top MLB player props for Thursday's Astros vs. Reds matchup.

Houston Astros Prediction - Chas McCormick To Get a Hit (-150)

• Our top prop bet for the Astros is on Chas McCormick to get a hit.
• Our analysis projects this prop to have a probability of 72.2%, providing an edge of 12.2% on the -150 odds offered by BetMGM.

Cincinnati Reds Prediction - Rhett Lowder Under 2.5 Earned Runs (-105)

• Our best prop bet for the Reds is on Rhett Lowder to have under 2.5 earned runs.
• According to our analysis, this prop has a probability of 55.0%, giving us an edge of 3.8% on the -105 odds available at DraftKings.

These MLB player props today are based purely on advanced modeling techniques that factor in variables including but not limited to past form and opponent trends, meaning you can trust that there is no bias that comes into play.

Astros vs. Reds Betting Trends

In addition to our MLB prop picks, we have sourced the best Astros vs. Reds trends to enhance your research and betting strategy for this matchup.

Santiago Espinal to Record a Hit

Santiago Espinal has recorded at least one hit in 14 of his last 17 appearances (82% of the time). You can put money on him to do it again at odds of -205 (67% implied probability), available at DraftKings.

Jon Singleton to Hit a Home Run

Jon Singleton has hit at least one home run in 4 of his last 13 appearances (31%). You can place a wager on him to hit another one at odds of +450 (18%), available at Bet365.

Jon Singleton to Record an RBI

Jon Singleton has recorded at least one RBI in 5 of his last 13 appearances (38%). You can bet on him to record at least one RBI again at odds of +165 (38%), again available at DraftKings.

Conclusion

At BettingOdds.com, we're backing Chas McCormick of the Astros to get a hit as our top prop bet of the game. Additionally, we're placing a bet on the Reds +1.5 to cover.

In addition to our Astros vs. Reds predictions, we offer extensive MLB betting resources. These include the latest MLB betting odds and insightful MLB predictions for today to elevate your betting game. Discover top picks with the best MLB bets today and dive into our MLB insights. Plus, find the best odds and promotions with our guide to the top MLB betting sites.