Astros vs. Reds Picks & Best Bets 4th Sep 2024: MLB Prediction, Betting Odds, Player Props & Trends

The Cincinnati Reds will take on the Houston Astros in MLB action on Wednesday at Great American Ball Park, beginning at 6:40 p.m. ET.
We have performed 10,000 simulations of Wednesday's MLB matchup using state-of-the-art AI technology to reveal the best Astros vs. Reds bets, player props and predictions.
According to our predictions, the Astros have a 58% chance of defeating the Reds.
To maximize the value of predictions like this, we constantly source the best odds for each market. This ensures that the sportsbooks listed below are currently offering the biggest payouts for the specified plays.
Our Astros vs. Reds Betting Picks & Predictions
Today's Astros vs. Reds picks combine the power of AI, statistics and analytics to produce MLB picks that are free from the emotional biases often associated with human-made picks.
Astros vs. Reds Game Information
- Game Date: Wednesday, September 4th, 2024
- Game Time: 6:40 p.m. ET
- Location: Great American Ball Park
- Run Line: Astros -1.5 / Reds +1.5
- Moneyline: Astros -138 / Reds +124
- Scoring Total: Over/Under 9 Runs (+100/-115)
Astros -1.5 @ +110 via BetMGM
- According to our simulations, the Astros have a 54% chance of covering the run line, while the Astros have a probability of 46%.
- BetMGM offers the best odds for this bet at +110.
Total Runs Over 9 @ +100 via DraftKings Sportsbook
- The over/under for total runs scored is set at 9 at DraftKings Sportsbook, which offers the best odds for the over at +100.
- Our analysis indicates a 52% probability of the 9-run total going over, providing an edge of 1.9%.
Astros vs. Reds Moneyline Odds
The sportsbooks have released the moneyline odds for this matchup, with the Houston Astros at -138 via FanDuel Sportsbook, whilst the Cincinnati Reds are available at +124 with DraftKings Sportsbook.
According to the model, the Astros are favored to win this game, with our projections assigning them a 58% chance of coming out on top.
Not only are they favored to win, but the Astros also present the best betting value, with the odds of -138 available at FanDuel Sportsbook for an edge of 0%.
Our Player Prop Picks for Astros vs. Reds
Here are the top MLB player props for Wednesday's Astros vs. Reds matchup.
Houston Astros Prediction - Chas McCormick To Get a Hit (-160)
- Our top prop bet for the Astros is on Chas McCormick to get a hit.
- Our analysis projects this prop to have a probability of 70.7%, providing an edge of 9.2% on the -160 odds offered by BetMGM.
Cincinnati Reds Prediction - Nick Martinez Under 2.5 Earned Runs (+125)
- Our best prop bet for the Reds is on Nick Martinez to have under 2.5 earned runs.
- According to our analysis, this prop has a probability of 52.3%, giving us an edge of 7.8% on the +125 odds available at DraftKings.
These MLB player props today are based purely on advanced modeling techniques that factor in variables including but not limited to past form and opponent trends, meaning you can trust that there is no bias that comes into play.
Astros vs. Reds Betting Trends
In addition to our MLB prop picks, we have compiled the best Astros vs. Reds trends to enhance your research and betting strategy for this matchup.
Santiago Espinal to Hit a Home Run
Santiago Espinal has hit at least one home run in 3 of his last 24 appearances (12% of the time). You can put money on him to do it again at odds of +1100 (8% implied probability), available at Bet365.
Conclusion
At BettingOdds.com, we're backing Chas McCormick of the Astros to get a hit as our top prop bet of the game. Additionally, we are betting on the Astros -1.5 to cover.
Beyond our Astros vs. Reds predictions, we offer a wide range of MLB betting resources. These include the latest MLB odds for today and insightful MLB computer picks to elevate your betting game. Discover top picks with the best MLB bets today and dive into our MLB insights. Plus, find the best odds and promotions with our guide to the best MLB betting sites.