Astros vs. Red Sox Picks & Best Bets 9th Aug 2024: MLB Prediction, Betting Odds, Player Props & Trends

The Boston Red Sox will face the Houston Astros in MLB action on Friday at Fenway Park, beginning at 7:10 p.m. ET.

We conducted 10,000 simulations of Friday's MLB matchup using advanced AI technology to pinpoint the best Astros vs. Red Sox bets, player props and predictions.

Based on these simulations, we predict that the Red Sox have a 57% chance of beating the Astros.

To get the maximum value from these predictions, we continuously monitor the best odds for each market. This means that the sportsbooks listed below are currently offering the highest payouts for the plays identified.

Our Astros vs. Red Sox Betting Picks & Predictions

Today's Astros vs. Red Sox picks fuse the power of AI, stats and analytics to create MLB picks that are free from the emotional biases often associated with human-made picks.

Astros vs. Red Sox Game Information

• Game Date: Friday, August 9th, 2024
• Game Time: 7:10 p.m. ET
• Location: Fenway Park
• Run Line: Astros +1.5 / Red Sox -1.5
• Moneyline: Astros +115 / Red Sox -130
• Scoring Total: Over/Under 10 Runs (-105/-115)

Red Sox -1.5 @ +155 via FanDuel Sportsbook

• According to our simulations, the Red Sox have a 61% chance of covering the run line, while the Red Sox have a probability of 39%.
• FanDuel Sportsbook offers odds of +155 for the Red Sox -1.5, providing a favorable 0.1% edge for them to cover.

Total Runs Under 10 @ -115 via DraftKings Sportsbook

• The over/under for total runs scored is set at 10, with DraftKings Sportsbook offering the best odds for the under at -115.
• Our analysis shows a 55% likelihood that the total will stay under 10 runs, providing an edge of 1.5%.

Astros vs. Red Sox Moneyline Odds

The sportsbooks have released the moneyline odds for this matchup, with the Houston Astros at +115 via BetMGM, whilst the Boston Red Sox are available at -130 with DraftKings Sportsbook.

According to the model, the Red Sox are favored to win this game, with our projections giving them a 57% chance of victory.

Additionally, the Red Sox present the best betting value, with the odds of -130 available at DraftKings Sportsbook for an edge of 0.3%.

Our Player Prop Picks for Astros vs. Red Sox

Here are the top MLB player props for Friday's Astros vs. Red Sox game.

Houston Astros Prediction - Ronel Blanco Over 2.5 Walks Allowed (+150)

• Our top prop bet for the Astros is on Ronel Blanco to record over 2.5 walks allowed.
• Our analysis projects this prop to have a probability of 46.1%, providing an edge of 6.1% over the +150 odds offered by DraftKings.

Boston Red Sox Prediction - Dominic Smith To Get a Hit (-175)

• Our best prop bet for the Red Sox is on Dominic Smith to get a hit.
• According to our analysis, this prop has a probability of 76.4%, providing an edge of 12.8% on the -175 odds available at BetMGM.

These MLB player props today are based purely on advanced modeling techniques that factor in variables including but not limited to past form and opponent trends, meaning you can trust that there is no bias that comes into play.

Astros vs. Red Sox Betting Trends

In addition to our MLB prop picks, we have sourced the best Astros vs. Red Sox trends to enhance your research and betting strategy for this matchup.

Connor Wong to Record an RBI

Connor Wong has recorded at least one RBI in 7 of his last 14 appearances (50% of the time). You can put money on him to do it again at odds of +195 (34% implied probability), available at DraftKings.

Jon Singleton to Hit a Home Run

Jon Singleton has hit at least one home run in 2 of his last 11 games (18%). You can make a bet that he'll hit another one at odds of +750 (12%), available at Bet365.

Masataka Yoshida to Hit a Home Run

Masataka Yoshida has hit at least one home run in 2 of his last 10 games (20%). You can bet on him to homer again at odds of +700 (12%), again available at Bet365.

Conclusion

At BettingOdds.com, we're backing Dominic Smith of the Red Sox to get a hit as our top prop bet of the game. Additionally, we are placing a bet on the Red Sox -1.5 to cover.

Beyond our Astros vs. Red Sox predictions, we offer extensive MLB betting resources. These include the latest MLB betting odds and insightful MLB predictions for today to elevate your betting game. Discover top picks with our MLB best bets and dive into MLB sports journalists' insights. Plus, find the best odds and promotions with our guide to the top MLB betting sites.