Astros vs. Red Sox Picks & Best Bets 11th Aug 2024: MLB Prediction, Betting Odds, Player Props & Trends

The Boston Red Sox will host the Houston Astros in MLB action on Sunday at Fenway Park, starting at 1:35 p.m. ET.

We performed 10,000 simulations of Sunday's MLB matchup using state-of-the-art AI technology to determine the best Astros vs. Red Sox bets, player props and predictions.

According to our predictions, the Astros have a 53% chance of beating the Red Sox.

To maximize the value of predictions like this, we continuously source the most favorable odds for each market. This ensures that the sportsbooks listed below are currently offering the biggest payouts for the specified plays.

Our Astros vs. Red Sox Betting Picks & Predictions

Today's Astros vs. Red Sox picks combine the power of AI, statistics and analytics to create MLB predictions that are free from the emotional biases typical of human-made picks.

Astros vs. Red Sox Game Information

• Game Date: Sunday, August 11th, 2024
• Game Time: 1:35 p.m. ET
• Location: Fenway Park
• Run Line: Astros -1.5 / Red Sox +1.5
• Moneyline: Astros -130 / Red Sox +120
• Scoring Total: Over/Under 10 Runs (-115/-102)

Red Sox +1.5 @ -128 via FanDuel Sportsbook

• According to our simulations, the Red Sox have a 58% chance of covering the run line, while the Astros have a probability of 42%.
• FanDuel Sportsbook offers odds of -128 for the Red Sox +1.5, presenting a favorable 1.5% edge for them to cover.

Total Runs Under 10 @ -102 via DraftKings Sportsbook

• The over/under for total runs scored is set at 10, with DraftKings Sportsbook offering the best odds for the under at -102.
• Our analysis indicates a 49% chance that the total will stay under 10 runs, which presents greater value compared to betting on the over.

Astros vs. Red Sox Moneyline Odds

The sportsbooks have released the moneyline odds for this matchup, with the Houston Astros at -130 via BetMGM, whilst the Boston Red Sox are available at +120 with DraftKings Sportsbook.

According to the model, the Astros are favored to win this game, with our projections assigning them a 53% chance of coming out on top.

Even though the Astros are more likely to win, DraftKings Sportsbook offers +120 odds on the Red Sox moneyline, providing an edge of 1.2%. This makes it our recommended moneyline bet.

Our Player Prop Picks for Astros vs. Red Sox

Here are the best MLB player props for Sunday's Astros vs. Red Sox matchup.

Houston Astros Prediction - Hunter Brown Over 2.5 Walks Allowed (+155)

• Our top prop bet for the Astros is on Hunter Brown to record over 2.5 walks allowed.
• Our analysis projects this prop to have a probability of 51.2%, providing an edge of 12.0% over the +155 odds offered by BetMGM.

Boston Red Sox Prediction - David Hamilton To Get a Hit (-130)

• Our best prop bet for the Red Sox is on David Hamilton to get a hit.
• According to our analysis, this prop has a probability of 68.3%, providing an edge of 11.8% on the -130 odds available at BetMGM.

These MLB player props today are based purely on advanced modeling techniques that factor in variables including but not limited to past form and opponent trends, meaning you can trust that there is no bias that comes into play.

Astros vs. Red Sox Betting Trends

In addition to our MLB prop picks, we have compiled the best Astros vs. Red Sox trends to enhance your research and betting strategy for this game.

David Hamilton to Hit a Home Run

David Hamilton has hit at least one home run in 1 of his last 10 appearances (10% success rate). You can bet on him to do it again at odds of +900 (10% implied probability), available at Bet365.

Conclusion

At BettingOdds.com, we're backing Hunter Brown of the Astros to record over 2.5 walks allowed, with an edge of 12% marking this as our top prop bet of the game. Additionally, we're betting on the Red Sox +1.5 to cover.

Beyond our Astros vs. Red Sox predictions, we offer a wide range of MLB betting resources. These include the latest MLB betting odds and insightful MLB expert picks to elevate your betting game. Discover top picks with our best MLB bets and dive into our MLB insights. Plus, find the best odds and promotions with our guide to the best MLB betting sites.