Astros vs. Phillies Picks & Best Bets 28th Aug 2024: MLB Prediction, Betting Odds, Player Props & Trends

The Philadelphia Phillies will meet the Houston Astros in MLB action on Wednesday at Citizens Bank Park, starting at 4:05 p.m. ET.

We conducted 10,000 simulations of Wednesday's MLB matchup using state-of-the-art AI technology to pinpoint the best Astros vs. Phillies bets, player props and predictions.

Our predictions show that the Astros have a 52% chance of beating the Phillies.

To maximize the value of predictions like this, we constantly source the most favorable odds for each market. This ensures that the sportsbooks listed below are currently offering the highest payouts for the specified plays.

Our Astros vs. Phillies Betting Picks & Predictions

Today's Astros vs. Phillies picks combine the power of AI, stats and analytics to produce MLB picks that are free from the emotional biases typical of human-made picks.

Astros vs. Phillies Game Information

• Game Date: Wednesday, August 28th, 2024
• Game Time: 4:05 p.m. ET
• Location: Citizens Bank Park
• Run Line: Astros -1.5 / Phillies +1.5
• Moneyline: Astros -120 / Phillies +100
• Scoring Total: Over/Under 10 Runs (-105/-115)

Astros -1.5 @ +135 via BetMGM

• According to our simulations, the Astros have a 59% chance of covering the run line, while the Astros have a probability of 41%.
• BetMGM offers the best odds for this bet at +135.

Total Runs Over 10 @ -105 via BetMGM

• The over/under for total runs scored is set at 10 at BetMGM, which offers the best odds for the over at -105.
• Our analysis indicates a slightly higher chance that the total will go over 10 runs.

Astros vs. Phillies Moneyline Odds

The sportsbooks have released the moneyline odds for this matchup, with the Houston Astros at -120 via BetMGM, whilst the Philadelphia Phillies are available at +100 with BetMGM.

According to the model, the Astros are favored to win this game, with our projections assigning them a 52% chance of coming out on top.

Although the Astros are more likely to win, BetMGM offers +100 odds on the Phillies moneyline, making it our recommended moneyline bet, as it represents the best value currently available.

Our Player Prop Picks for Astros vs. Phillies

Here are the best MLB player props for Wednesday's Astros vs. Phillies game.

Houston Astros Prediction - Spencer Arrighetti Over 1.5 Walks Allowed (-160)

• Our top prop bet for the Astros is on Spencer Arrighetti to record over 1.5 walks allowed.
• Our analysis projects this prop to have a probability of 65.9%, giving us an edge of 4.4% the -160 odds offered by BetMGM.

Philadelphia Phillies Prediction - Johan Rojas To Get a Hit (-150)

• Our best prop bet for the Phillies is on Johan Rojas to get a hit.
• According to our analysis, this prop has a probability of 73.8%, giving us an edge of 13.8% on the -150 odds available at BetMGM.

These MLB player props today are based purely on advanced modeling techniques that factor in variables including but not limited to past form and opponent trends, meaning you can trust that there is no bias that comes into play.

Astros vs. Phillies Betting Trends

In addition to our MLB prop picks, we have sourced the best Astros vs. Phillies trends to enhance your research and betting strategy for this game.

Nick Castellanos to Hit a Home Run

Nick Castellanos has hit at least one home run in 3 of his last 12 games (25% success rate). You can bet on him to do it again at odds of +400 (20% implied probability), available at Bet365.

Conclusion

At BettingOdds.com, we're backing Johan Rojas of the Phillies to get a hit as our top prop bet of the game. Additionally, we are betting on the Astros -1.5 to cover.

In addition to our Astros vs. Phillies predictions, we offer extensive MLB betting tools. These include the latest MLB betting odds and insightful MLB predictions for today to elevate your betting game. Discover top picks with the best MLB bets and dive into our MLB insights. Plus, find the best odds and promotions with our guide to the best online MLB betting sites.