Astros vs. Phillies Picks & Best Bets 27th Aug 2024: MLB Prediction, Betting Odds, Player Props & Trends

The Philadelphia Phillies will meet the Houston Astros in MLB action on Tuesday at Citizens Bank Park, starting at 6:40 p.m. ET.

We run 10,000 simulations of Tuesday's MLB matchup using advanced AI technology to highlight the best Astros vs. Phillies bets, player props and predictions.

Using these simulations, we predict that the Phillies have a 56% chance of beating the Astros.

To get the best value from these predictions, we continuously monitor the most favorable odds for each market. This ensures that the sportsbooks listed below are currently offering the highest payouts for the specified plays.

Our Astros vs. Phillies Betting Picks & Predictions

Today's Astros vs. Phillies picks combine the power of AI, stats and analytics to produce MLB picks that are free from the emotional biases often associated with human-made picks.

Astros vs. Phillies Game Information

• Game Date: Tuesday, August 27th, 2024
• Game Time: 6:40 p.m. ET
• Location: Citizens Bank Park
• Run Line: Astros +1.5 / Phillies -1.5
• Moneyline: Astros +120 / Phillies -135
• Scoring Total: Over/Under 9 Runs (-105/-115)

Astros +1.5 @ -170 via FanDuel Sportsbook

• According to our simulations, the Astros have a 62% chance of covering the run line, while the Phillies have a probability of 38%.
• FanDuel Sportsbook offers the best odds for this bet at -170.

Total Runs Over 9 @ -105 via BetMGM

• The over/under for total runs scored is set at 9 at BetMGM, which offers the best odds for the over at -105.
• Our analysis suggests a 52% chance of the 9-run total going over, providing an edge of 0.5%.

Astros vs. Phillies Moneyline Odds

The sportsbooks have released the moneyline odds for this matchup, with the Houston Astros at +120 via BetMGM, whilst the Philadelphia Phillies are available at -135 with DraftKings Sportsbook.

According to the model, the Phillies are favored to win this game, with our projections giving them a 56% chance of victory.

Although the Phillies are more likely to win, BetMGM offers +120 odds on the Astros moneyline, making it our recommended moneyline bet, as it represents the best value currently available.

Our Player Prop Picks for Astros vs. Phillies

Here are the best MLB player props for Tuesday's Astros vs. Phillies game.

Houston Astros Prediction - Justin Verlander Over 5.5 Hits Allowed (+110)

• Our top prop bet for the Astros is on Justin Verlander to record over 5.5 hits allowed.
• Our analysis projects this prop to have a probability of 54.6%, providing an edge of 7.0% on the +110 odds offered by BetMGM.

Philadelphia Phillies Prediction - Aaron Nola Over 5.5 Strikeouts (+115)

• Our best prop bet for the Phillies is on Aaron Nola to have over 5.5 strikeouts.
• According to our analysis, this prop has a probability of 59.1%, providing an edge of 12.5% on the +115 odds available at DraftKings.

These MLB player props today are based purely on advanced modeling techniques that factor in variables including but not limited to past form and opponent trends, meaning you can trust that there is no bias that comes into play.

Astros vs. Phillies Betting Trends

In addition to our MLB prop picks, we have sourced the best Astros vs. Phillies trends to enhance your research and betting strategy for this game.

Jose Altuve to Hit a Home Run

Jose Altuve has hit at least one home run in 3 of his last 10 appearances (30% of the time). You can bet on him to do it again at odds of +650 (13% implied probability), available at Bet365.

Conclusion

At BettingOdds.com, we're backing Aaron Nola of the Phillies to record over 5.5 strikeouts, with an edge of 12.5% marking this as our top prop bet of the game. Additionally, we are placing a bet on the Astros +1.5 to cover.

In addition to our Astros vs. Phillies predictions, we offer extensive MLB betting tools. These include the latest MLB odds for today and insightful MLB predictions for today to elevate your betting game. Discover top picks with the best MLB bets today and dive into our MLB expert insights. Plus, find the best odds and promotions with our guide to the top online MLB betting sites.