Astros vs. Padres Picks & Best Bets 18th Sep 2024: MLB Prediction, Betting Odds, Player Props & Trends
The San Diego Padres will face the Houston Astros in MLB action on Wednesday at PETCO Park, beginning at 6:40 p.m. ET.
We've run 10,000 simulations of Wednesday's MLB matchup using innovative AI technology to identify the best Astros vs. Padres bets, player props and predictions.
Our predictions show that the Padres have a 51% chance of beating the Astros.
To maximize the value of predictions like this, we continuously monitor the best odds for each market. This ensures that the sportsbooks listed below are currently offering the highest payouts for the plays identified.
Our Astros vs. Padres Betting Picks & Predictions
Today's Astros vs. Padres picks combine the power of AI, stats and analytics to create MLB picks that are free from the emotional biases typical of human-made picks.
Astros vs. Padres Game Information
- Game Date: Wednesday, September 18th, 2024
- Game Time: 6:40 p.m. ET
- Location: PETCO Park
- Run Line: Astros -1.5 / Padres +1.5
- Moneyline: Astros -105 / Padres -110
- Scoring Total: Over/Under 6.5 Runs (-120/+102)
Astros -1.5 @ +170 via BetMGM
- According to our simulations, the Astros have a 64% chance of covering the run line, while the Astros have a probability of 36%.
- BetMGM offers the best odds for this bet at +170.
Total Runs Over 6.5 @ -120 via BetMGM
- The over/under for total runs scored is set at 6.5, with BetMGM offering the best odds for the over at -120.
- Our analysis indicates a 59% chance that the total will go over 6.5 runs, providing an edge of 4%.
Astros vs. Padres Moneyline Odds
The sportsbooks have released the moneyline odds for this matchup, with the Houston Astros at -105 via BetMGM, whilst the San Diego Padres are available at -110 with FanDuel Sportsbook.
According to the model, the Padres are favored to win this game, with our projections assigning them a 51% chance of coming out on top.
Additionally, the Padres present the best betting value, with the odds of -110 available at FanDuel Sportsbook making it our recommended moneyline bet.
Houston Astros Prediction - Yainer Diaz To Get a Hit (-285)
- Our top prop bet for the Astros is on Yainer Diaz to get a hit.
- Our analysis projects this prop to have a probability of 87.6%, giving us an edge of 13.6% on the -285 odds offered by DraftKings.
San Diego Padres Prediction - Jake Cronenworth To Get a Hit (-125)
- Our best prop bet for the Padres is on Jake Cronenworth to get a hit.
- According to our analysis, this prop has a probability of 64.8%, giving us an edge of 9.3% on the -125 odds available at BetMGM.
These MLB player props today are based purely on advanced modeling techniques that factor in variables including but not limited to past form and opponent trends, meaning you can trust that there is no bias that comes into play.
Astros vs. Padres Betting Trends
In addition to our MLB prop picks, we have compiled the best Astros vs. Padres trends to enhance your research and betting strategy for this matchup.
Jurickson Profar to Hit a Home Run
Jurickson Profar has hit at least one home run in 2 of his last 11 appearances (18% success rate). You can put money on him to do it again at odds of +900 (10% implied probability), available at Bet365.
Conclusion
At BettingOdds.com, we're backing Yainer Diaz of the Astros to get a hit as our top prop bet of the game. Additionally, we are betting on the Astros -1.5 to cover.
In addition to our Astros vs. Padres predictions, we offer extensive MLB betting tools. These include the latest MLB odds for today and insightful MLB computer picks to elevate your betting game. Discover top picks with the best MLB bets and dive into our MLB insights. Plus, find the best odds and promotions with our guide to the top MLB betting sites.