Astros vs. Padres Picks & Best Bets 17th Sep 2024: MLB Prediction, Betting Odds, Player Props & Trends

The San Diego Padres will face the Houston Astros in MLB action on Tuesday at PETCO Park, starting at 9:40 p.m. ET.

We performed 10,000 simulations of Tuesday's MLB matchup using advanced AI technology to highlight the best Astros vs. Padres bets, player props and predictions.

Using these simulations, we predict that the Padres have a 53% chance of beating the Astros.

To maximize the value of predictions like this, we continuously monitor the best odds for each market. This ensures that the sportsbooks listed below are currently offering the highest payouts for the plays identified.

Our Astros vs. Padres Betting Picks & Predictions

Today's Astros vs. Padres picks fuse the power of AI, stats and analytics to create MLB picks that are free from the emotional biases typical of human-made picks.

Astros vs. Padres Game Information

• Game Date: Tuesday, September 17th, 2024
• Game Time: 9:40 p.m. ET
• Location: PETCO Park
• Run Line: Astros -1.5 / Padres +1.5
• Moneyline: Astros +102 / Padres -118
• Scoring Total: Over/Under 7.5 Runs (+100/-120)

Padres +1.5 @ -205 via FanDuel Sportsbook

• According to our simulations, the Padres have a 66% chance of covering the run line, while the Astros have a probability of 34%.
• FanDuel Sportsbook offers the best odds for this bet at -205.

Total Runs Over 7.5 @ +100 via DraftKings Sportsbook

• The over/under for total runs scored is set at 7.5, with DraftKings Sportsbook offering the best odds for the over at +100.
• Our analysis suggests a 51% probability of the 7.5-run total going over, providing an edge of 0.6%.

Astros vs. Padres Moneyline Odds

The sportsbooks have released the moneyline odds for this matchup, with the Houston Astros at +102 via DraftKings Sportsbook, whilst the San Diego Padres are available at -118 with FanDuel Sportsbook.

According to the model, the Padres are favored to win this game, with our projections giving them a 53% chance of prevailing.

Additionally, the Padres present the best betting value, with the odds of -118 available at FanDuel Sportsbook making it our recommended moneyline bet.

Houston Astros Prediction - Hunter Brown Under 5.5 Hits Allowed (-120)

• Our top prop bet for the Astros is on Hunter Brown to record under 5.5 hits allowed.
• Our analysis projects this prop to have a probability of 62.8%, providing an edge of 8.2% on the -120 odds offered by DraftKings.

San Diego Padres Prediction - Kyle Higashioka To Get an RBI (+320)

• Our best prop bet for the Padres is on Kyle Higashioka to get an RBI.
• According to our analysis, this prop has a probability of 35.8%, giving us an edge of 12.0% on the +320 odds available at BetMGM.

These MLB player props today are based purely on advanced modeling techniques that factor in variables including but not limited to past form and opponent trends, meaning you can trust that there is no bias that comes into play.

Astros vs. Padres Betting Trends

In addition to our MLB prop picks, we have compiled the best Astros vs. Padres trends to enhance your research and betting strategy for this game.

Jon Singleton to Record an RBI

Jon Singleton has recorded at least one RBI in 4 of his last 10 appearances (40% of the time). You can wager on him to do it again at odds of +285 (26% implied probability), available at DraftKings.

Fernando Tatis Jr. to Record a Hit

Fernando Tatis Jr. has recorded at least one hit in 9 of his last 11 games (82%). You can place a wager on him to get another one at odds of -245 (71%), also available at DraftKings.

Jon Singleton to Hit a Home Run

Jon Singleton has hit at least one home run in 2 of his last 10 appearances (20%). You can bet on him to homer again at odds of +850 (11%), available at Bet365.

Conclusion

At BettingOdds.com, we're backing Kyle Higashioka of the Padres to get an RBI as our top prop bet of the game. Additionally, we are betting on the Padres +1.5 to cover.

Beyond our Astros vs. Padres predictions, we offer extensive MLB betting tools. These include the latest MLB odds and insightful MLB expert picks to elevate your betting game. Discover top picks with our best MLB bets and dive into our MLB expert insights. Plus, find the best odds and promotions with our guide to the best MLB betting sites.