Astros vs. Padres Picks & Best Bets 16th Sep 2024: MLB Prediction, Betting Odds, Player Props & Trends

The San Diego Padres will face the Houston Astros in MLB action on Monday at PETCO Park, beginning at 9:40 p.m. ET.

We've performed 10,000 simulations of Monday's MLB matchup using state-of-the-art AI technology to highlight the best Astros vs. Padres bets, player props and predictions.

Using these simulations, we predict that the Padres have a 52% chance of defeating the Astros.

To maximize the value of predictions like this, we continuously source the most favorable odds for each market. This means that the sportsbooks listed below are currently offering the biggest payouts for the specified plays.

Our Astros vs. Padres Betting Picks & Predictions

Today's Astros vs. Padres picks combine the power of AI, statistics and analytics to generate MLB picks that are free from the emotional biases often associated with human-made picks.

Astros vs. Padres Game Information

• Game Date: Monday, September 16th, 2024
• Game Time: 9:40 p.m. ET
• Location: PETCO Park
• Run Line: Astros -1.5 / Padres +1.5
• Moneyline: Astros +100 / Padres -118
• Scoring Total: Over/Under 7.5 Runs (-120/-102)

Astros -1.5 @ +168 via FanDuel Sportsbook

• According to our simulations, the Astros have a 65% chance of covering the run line, while the Astros have a probability of 35%.
• FanDuel Sportsbook offers the best odds for this bet at +168.

Total Runs Over 7.5 @ -120 via FanDuel Sportsbook

• The over/under for total runs scored is set at 7.5, with FanDuel Sportsbook offering the best odds for the over at -120.
• Our analysis indicates a 57% chance that the total will go over 7.5 runs, providing an edge of 2.3%.

Astros vs. Padres Moneyline Odds

The sportsbooks have released the moneyline odds for this matchup, with the Houston Astros at +100 via BetMGM, whilst the San Diego Padres are available at -118 with DraftKings Sportsbook.

According to the model, the Padres are favored to win this game, with our projections giving them a 52% chance of coming out on top.

Even though the Padres are more likely to win, BetMGM offers +100 odds on the Astros moneyline, making it our recommended moneyline bet, as it represents the best value currently available.

Houston Astros Prediction - Spencer Arrighetti Under 5.5 Hits Allowed (-165)

• Our top prop bet for the Astros is on Spencer Arrighetti to record under 5.5 hits allowed.
• Our analysis projects this prop to have a probability of 66.9%, providing an edge of 4.6% on the -165 odds offered by BetMGM.

San Diego Padres Prediction - Kyle Higashioka To Get a Hit (+105)

• Our best prop bet for the Padres is on Kyle Higashioka to get a hit.
• According to our analysis, this prop has a probability of 60.8%, giving us an edge of 12.1% on the +105 odds available at BetMGM.

These MLB player props today are based purely on advanced modeling techniques that factor in variables including but not limited to past form and opponent trends, meaning you can trust that there is no bias that comes into play.

Astros vs. Padres Betting Trends

In addition to our MLB prop picks, we have compiled the best Astros vs. Padres trends to enhance your research and betting strategy for this matchup.

Jason Heyward to Record an RBI

Jason Heyward has recorded at least one RBI in 5 of his last 17 games (29% of the time). You can wager on him to do it again at odds of +250 (29% implied probability), available at DraftKings.

Conclusion

At BettingOdds.com, we're backing Kyle Higashioka of the Padres to get a hit as our top prop bet of the game. Additionally, we're placing a bet on the Astros -1.5 to cover.

In addition to our Astros vs. Padres predictions, we offer extensive MLB betting resources. These include the latest MLB odds and insightful MLB computer picks to elevate your betting game. Discover top picks with the best MLB bets and dive into our MLB insights. Plus, find the best odds and promotions with our guide to the best MLB betting sites.