Astros vs. Orioles Picks & Best Bets 22nd Aug 2024: MLB Prediction, Betting Odds, Player Props & Trends

The Baltimore Orioles will go up against the Houston Astros in MLB action on Thursday at Oriole Park at Camden Yards, starting at 7:08 p.m. ET.

We have performed 10,000 simulations of Thursday's MLB matchup using state-of-the-art AI technology to pinpoint the best Astros vs. Orioles bets, player props and predictions.

Our predictions show that the Orioles have a 57% chance of beating the Astros.

To maximize the value of predictions like this, we continuously monitor the most favorable odds for each market. This ensures that the sportsbooks listed below are currently offering the biggest payouts for the plays identified.

Our Astros vs. Orioles Betting Picks & Predictions

Today's Astros vs. Orioles picks fuse the power of AI, stats and analytics to create MLB predictions that are free from the emotional biases often associated with human-made picks.

Astros vs. Orioles Game Information

• Game Date: Thursday, August 22nd, 2024
• Game Time: 7:08 p.m. ET
• Location: Oriole Park at Camden Yards
• Run Line: Astros +1.5 / Orioles -1.5
• Moneyline: Astros +135 / Orioles -145
• Scoring Total: Over/Under 7.5 Runs (-115/-104)

Astros +1.5 @ -154 via FanDuel Sportsbook

• According to our simulations, the Astros have a 61% chance of covering the run line, while the Orioles have a probability of 39%.
• FanDuel Sportsbook offers odds of -154 for the Astros +1.5, providing a favorable 0.7% edge for them to cover.

Total Runs Over 7.5 @ -115 via BetMGM

• The over/under for total runs scored is set at 7.5 at BetMGM, which offers the best odds for the over at -115.
• Our analysis suggests a 54% chance of the 7.5-run total going over, providing an edge of 0.3%.

Astros vs. Orioles Moneyline Odds

The sportsbooks have released the moneyline odds for this matchup, with the Houston Astros at +135 via BetMGM, whilst the Baltimore Orioles are available at -145 with DraftKings Sportsbook.

According to the model, the Orioles are favored to win this game, with our projections assigning them a 57% chance of victory.

Even though the Orioles are more likely to win, BetMGM offers +135 odds on the Astros moneyline, providing an edge of 0.8%. This makes it our recommended moneyline bet.

Our Player Prop Picks for Astros vs. Orioles

Here are the best MLB player props for Thursday's Astros vs. Orioles game.

Houston Astros Prediction - Alex Bregman To Get a HR (+825)

• Our top prop bet for the Astros is on Alex Bregman to hit a home run.
• Our analysis projects him to have a probability of 16.8% of going yard, providing an edge of 6.0% the +825 odds offered by BetMGM.

Baltimore Orioles Prediction - Gunnar Henderson To Get a HR (+525)

• Our best prop bet for the Orioles is on Gunnar Henderson to hit a home run.
• According to our analysis, there is a probability of 19.4% that he will go yard, giving us an edge of 3.4% on the +525 odds available at Bet365.

These MLB player props today are based purely on advanced modeling techniques that factor in variables including but not limited to past form and opponent trends, meaning you can trust that there is no bias that comes into play.

Astros vs. Orioles Betting Trends

In addition to our MLB prop picks, we have compiled the best Astros vs. Orioles trends to enhance your research and betting strategy for this game.

Jackson Holliday to Record an RBI

Jackson Holliday has recorded at least one RBI in 10 of his last 18 games (56% of the time). You can wager on him to do it again at odds of +210 (32% implied probability), available at DraftKings.

Jon Singleton to Hit a Home Run

Jon Singleton has hit at least one home run in 3 of his last 12 appearances (25%). You can make a bet that he'll hit another one at odds of +1100 (8%), available at Bet365.

Anthony Santander to Hit a Home Run

Anthony Santander has hit at least one home run in 8 of his last 25 appearances (32%). You can wager on him to homer again at odds of +425 (19%), again available at Bet365.

Conclusion

At BettingOdds.com, we're backing Alex Bregman of the Astros to hit a home run as our top prop bet of the game. Additionally, we're betting on the Astros +1.5 to cover.

In addition to our Astros vs. Orioles predictions, we offer a wide range of MLB betting resources. These include the latest MLB odds and insightful MLB predictions to elevate your betting game. Discover top picks with our best MLB bets tonight and dive into our MLB insights. Plus, find the best odds and promotions with our guide to the best MLB betting sites.