Astros vs. Mets Picks & Best Bets 30th Jun 2024: MLB Prediction, Betting Odds, Player Props & Trends

The New York Mets will face the Houston Astros in MLB action on Sunday at Citi Field, beginning at 1:40 p.m. ET.

We performed 10,000 simulations of Sunday's MLB matchup using cutting-edge AI technology to determine the best Astros vs. Mets bets, player props and predictions.

Our predictions show that the Mets have a 53% chance of defeating the Astros.

To get the maximum value from these predictions, we continuously source the most favorable odds for each market. This means that the sportsbooks listed below are currently offering the biggest payouts for the plays identified.

Our Astros vs. Mets Betting Picks & Predictions

Today's Astros vs. Mets picks combine the power of AI, statistics and analytics to create MLB picks that are free from the emotional biases often associated with human-made picks.

Astros vs. Mets Game Information

• Game Date: Sunday, June 30th, 2024
• Game Time: 1:40 p.m. ET
• Location: Citi Field
• Run Line: Astros +1.5 / Mets -1.5
• Moneyline: Astros +110 / Mets -125
• Scoring Total: Over/Under 9 Runs (-102/-115)

Astros +1.5 @ -184 via FanDuel Sportsbook

• According to our simulations, the Astros have a 64% chance of covering the run line, while the Mets have a probability of 36%.
• FanDuel Sportsbook offers the best odds for this bet at -184.

Total Runs Over 9 @ -102 via DraftKings Sportsbook

• The over/under for total runs scored is set at 9, with DraftKings Sportsbook offering the best odds for the over at -102.
• Our analysis suggests a slightly higher probability that the total will go over 9 runs.

Astros vs. Mets Moneyline Odds

The sportsbooks have released the moneyline odds for this matchup, with the Houston Astros at +110 via BetMGM, whilst the New York Mets are available at -125 with DraftKings Sportsbook.

According to the model, the Mets are favored to win this game, with our projections assigning them a 53% chance of victory.

Even though the Mets are more likely to win, BetMGM offers +110 odds on the Astros moneyline, making it our recommended moneyline bet, as it represents the best value currently available.

Our Player Prop Picks for Astros vs. Mets

Here are the top MLB player props for Sunday's Astros vs. Mets matchup.

Houston Astros Prediction - Chas McCormick To Get an RBI (+240)

• Our top prop bet for the Astros is on Chas McCormick to hit an RBI.
• Our analysis projects this prop to have a probability of 30.3%, providing an edge of 0.9% the +240 odds offered by BetMGM.

New York Mets Prediction - Luis Severino Over 1.5 Walks Allowed (+130)

• Our best prop bet for the Mets is on Luis Severino to have over 1.5 walks allowed.
• According to our analysis, this prop has a probability of 55.2%, giving us an edge of 11.7% on the +130 odds available at BetMGM.

These MLB player props today are based purely on advanced modeling techniques that factor in variables including but not limited to past form and opponent trends, meaning you can trust that there is no bias that comes into play.

Astros vs. Mets Betting Trends

In addition to our MLB prop picks, we have compiled the best Astros vs. Mets trends to enhance your research and betting strategy for this game.

Alex Bregman to Record a Hit

Alex Bregman has recorded at least one hit in 21 of his last 25 games (84% of the time). You can bet on him to do it again at odds of -265 (73% implied probability), available at DraftKings.

Jon Singleton to Record a Hit

Jon Singleton has recorded at least one hit in 7 of his last 10 appearances (70%). You can place a bet on him to get another one at odds of -175 (64%), also available at DraftKings.

Chas McCormick to Record an RBI

Chas McCormick has recorded at least one RBI in 4 of his last 10 games (40%). You can bet on him to record at least one RBI again at odds of +240 (29%), again available at DraftKings.

Conclusion

At BettingOdds.com, we're backing Luis Severino of the Mets to record over 1.5 walks allowed, with an edge of 11.7% marking this as our top prop bet of the game. Additionally, we are betting on the Astros +1.5 to cover.

Beyond our Astros vs. Mets predictions, we offer extensive MLB betting tools. These include the latest MLB odds for today and insightful MLB computer picks to elevate your betting game. Discover top picks with our MLB best bets today and dive into our MLB insights. Plus, find the best odds and promotions with our guide to the best MLB betting sites.