Astros vs. Mets Picks & Best Bets 29th Jun 2024: MLB Prediction, Betting Odds, Player Props & Trends

The New York Mets will go up against the Houston Astros in MLB action on Saturday at Citi Field, beginning at 4:10 p.m. ET.

We've run 10,000 simulations of Saturday's MLB matchup using innovative AI technology to identify the best Astros vs. Mets bets, player props and predictions.

According to our predictions, the Mets have a 51% chance of beating the Astros.

To get the maximum value from these predictions, we continuously source the best odds for each market. This ensures that the sportsbooks listed below are currently offering the biggest payouts for the plays identified.

Our Astros vs. Mets Betting Picks & Predictions

Today's Astros vs. Mets picks combine the power of AI, data and analytics to generate MLB picks that are free from the emotional biases typical of human-made picks.

Astros vs. Mets Game Information

• Game Date: Saturday, June 29th, 2024
• Game Time: 4:10 p.m. ET
• Location: Citi Field
• Run Line: Astros -1.5 / Mets +1.5
• Moneyline: Astros +100 / Mets -112
• Scoring Total: Over/Under 8.5 Runs (-115/+100)

Mets +1.5 @ -178 via FanDuel Sportsbook

• According to our simulations, the Mets have a 63% chance of covering the run line, while the Astros have a probability of 37%.
• FanDuel Sportsbook offers the best odds for this bet at -178.

Total Runs Over 8.5 @ -115 via BetMGM

• The over/under for total runs scored is set at 8.5, with BetMGM offering the best odds for the over at -115.
• Our analysis shows a 52% probability that the total will go over 8.5 runs.

Astros vs. Mets Moneyline Odds

The sportsbooks have released the moneyline odds for this matchup, with the Houston Astros at +100 via BetMGM, whilst the New York Mets are available at -112 with FanDuel Sportsbook.

According to the model, the Mets are favored to win this game, with our projections giving them a 51% chance of victory.

Additionally, the Mets present the best betting value, with the odds of -112 available at FanDuel Sportsbook making it our recommended moneyline bet.

Our Player Prop Picks for Astros vs. Mets

Here are the top MLB player props for Saturday's Astros vs. Mets game.

Houston Astros Prediction - Framber Valdez Over 5.5 Strikeouts (+124)

• Our top prop bet for the Astros is on Framber Valdez to record over 5.5 strikeouts.
• Our analysis projects this prop to have a probability of 50.3%, providing an edge of 5.7% on the +124 odds offered by FanDuel.

New York Mets Prediction - Tylor Megill Under 16.5 Outs (-115)

• Our best prop bet for the Mets is on Tylor Megill to have under 16.5 outs.
• According to our analysis, this prop has a probability of 65.4%, giving us an edge of 11.9% on the -115 odds available at BetMGM.

These MLB player props today are based purely on advanced modeling techniques that factor in variables including but not limited to past form and opponent trends, meaning you can trust that there is no bias that comes into play.

Astros vs. Mets Betting Trends

In addition to our MLB prop picks, we have compiled the best Astros vs. Mets trends to enhance your research and betting strategy for this game.

Mark Vientos to Record an RBI

Mark Vientos has recorded at least one RBI in 12 of his last 22 games (55% success rate). You can put money on him to do it again at odds of +210 (32% implied probability), available at DraftKings.

Pete Alonso to Record an RBI

Pete Alonso has recorded at least one RBI in 6 of his last 10 games (60%). You can place a wager on him to record another one at odds of +170 (37%), also available at DraftKings.

Harrison Bader to Record an RBI

Harrison Bader has recorded at least one RBI in 8 of his last 18 appearances (44%). You can bet on him to record at least one RBI again at odds of +245 (29%), again available at DraftKings.

Conclusion

At BettingOdds.com, we're backing Tylor Megill of the Mets to record under 16.5 outs, with an edge of 11.9% marking this as our top prop bet of the game. Additionally, we're placing a bet on the Mets +1.5 to cover.

In addition to our Astros vs. Mets predictions, we offer extensive MLB betting resources. These include the latest MLB betting odds and insightful MLB predictions for today to elevate your betting game. Discover top picks with the best MLB bets today and dive into MLB sports journalists' insights. Plus, find the best odds and promotions with our guide to the best MLB betting sites.