Astros vs. Mets Picks & Best Bets 28th Jun 2024: MLB Prediction, Betting Odds, Player Props & Trends

The New York Mets will face the Houston Astros in MLB action on Friday at Citi Field, starting at 7:10 p.m. ET.

We have run 10,000 simulations of Friday's MLB matchup using state-of-the-art AI technology to pinpoint the best Astros vs. Mets bets, player props and predictions.

Our predictions show that the Mets have a 51% chance of defeating the Astros.

To maximize the value of predictions like this, we continually source the best odds for each market. This means that the sportsbooks listed below are currently offering the biggest payouts for the plays identified.

Our Astros vs. Mets Betting Picks & Predictions

Today's Astros vs. Mets picks combine the power of AI, data and analytics to generate MLB predictions that are free from the emotional biases often associated with human-made picks.

Astros vs. Mets Game Information

• Game Date: Friday, June 28th, 2024
• Game Time: 7:10 p.m. ET
• Location: Citi Field
• Run Line: Astros -1.5 / Mets +1.5
• Moneyline: Astros -104 / Mets -110
• Scoring Total: Over/Under 8 Runs (-115/-105)

Mets +1.5 @ -185 via BetMGM

• According to our simulations, the Mets have a 64% chance of covering the run line, while the Astros have a probability of 36%.
• BetMGM offers the best odds for this bet at -185.

Total Runs Over 8 @ -115 via DraftKings Sportsbook

• The over/under for total runs scored is set at 8 at DraftKings Sportsbook, which offers the best odds for the over at -115.
• Our analysis suggests a 56% chance that the total will go over 8 runs, providing an edge of 2.5%.

Astros vs. Mets Moneyline Odds

The sportsbooks have released the moneyline odds for this matchup, with the Houston Astros at -104 via FanDuel Sportsbook, whilst the New York Mets are available at -110 with BetMGM.

According to the model, the Mets are favored to win this game, with our projections giving them a 51% chance of coming out on top.

Additionally, the Mets present the best betting value, with the odds of -110 available at BetMGM making it our recommended moneyline bet.

Our Player Prop Picks for Astros vs. Mets

Here are the top MLB player props for Friday's Astros vs. Mets matchup.

Houston Astros Prediction - Ronel Blanco Over 2.5 Walks Allowed (+140)

• Our top prop bet for the Astros is on Ronel Blanco to record over 2.5 walks allowed.
• Our analysis projects this prop to have a probability of 50.6%, giving us an edge of 9.0% over the +140 odds offered by BetMGM.

New York Mets Prediction - Harrison Bader To Get a Hit (-130)

• Our best prop bet for the Mets is on Harrison Bader to get a hit.
• According to our analysis, this prop has a probability of 64.8%, giving us an edge of 8.3% on the -130 odds available at BetMGM.

These MLB player props today are based purely on advanced modeling techniques that factor in variables including but not limited to past form and opponent trends, meaning you can trust that there is no bias that comes into play.

Astros vs. Mets Betting Trends

In addition to our MLB prop picks, we have sourced the best Astros vs. Mets trends to enhance your research and betting strategy for this matchup.

Brandon Nimmo to Record an RBI

Brandon Nimmo has recorded at least one RBI in 7 of his last 10 games (70% of the time). You can wager on him to do it again at odds of +200 (33% implied probability), available at DraftKings.

Harrison Bader to Record an RBI

Harrison Bader has recorded at least one RBI in 8 of his last 17 appearances (47%). You can make a bet that he'll record another one at odds of +295 (25%), also available at DraftKings.

Conclusion

At BettingOdds.com, we're backing Ronel Blanco of the Astros to record over 2.5 walks allowed, with an edge of 9% marking this as our top prop bet of the game. Additionally, we're placing a bet on the Mets +1.5 to cover.

In addition to our Astros vs. Mets predictions, we offer extensive MLB betting tools. These include the latest MLB betting odds and insightful MLB computer picks to elevate your betting game. Discover top picks with our best MLB bets and dive into our MLB expert insights. Plus, find the best odds and promotions with our guide to the best MLB betting sites.