Astros vs. Mariners Picks & Best Bets 30th May 2024: MLB Prediction, Betting Odds, Player Props & Trends
The Seattle Mariners will take on the Houston Astros in MLB action on Thursday at T-Mobile Park, starting at 4:10 p.m. ET.
We performed 10,000 simulations of Thursday's MLB matchup using cutting-edge AI technology to pinpoint the best Astros vs. Mariners bets, player props and predictions.
Based on these simulations, we predict that the Mariners have a 55% chance of defeating the Astros.
To maximize the value of predictions like this, we continuously monitor the best odds for each market. This means that the sportsbooks listed below are currently offering the highest payouts for the plays identified.
Our Astros vs. Mariners Betting Picks & Predictions
Today's Astros vs. Mariners picks fuse the power of AI, data and analytics to produce MLB predictions that are free from the emotional biases typical of human-made picks.
Astros vs. Mariners Game Information
- Game Date: Thursday, May 30th, 2024
- Game Time: 4:10 p.m. ET
- Location: T-Mobile Park
- Run Line: Astros +1.5 / Mariners -1.5
- Moneyline: Astros +115 / Mariners -130
- Scoring Total: Over/Under 7 Runs (-120/+102)
Astros +1.5 @ -184 via FanDuel Sportsbook
| Pick | Operator | New Users | Odds |
|---|---|---|---|
| Astros +1.5 | FanDuel Sportsbook | Get Offer | -184 |
- According to our simulations, the Astros have a 64% chance of covering the run line, while the Mariners have a probability of 36%.
- FanDuel Sportsbook offers the best odds for this bet at -184.
Total Runs Over 7 @ -120 via BetMGM
| Pick | Operator | New Users | Odds |
|---|---|---|---|
| Over 7 | BetMGM | Get Offer | -120 |
- The over/under for total runs scored is set at 7, with BetMGM offering the best odds for the over at -120.
- Our analysis suggests a 53% probability of the 7-run total going over.
Astros vs. Mariners Moneyline Odds
| Houston Astros | Seattle Mariners |
|---|---|
| +115 via BetMGM | -130 via DraftKings Sportsbook |
The Mariners are favored to win this game, with our projections assigning them a 55% chance of coming out on top.
Even though the Mariners are favored to win, BetMGM offers +115 odds on the Astros moneyline, making it our recommended moneyline bet, as it represents the best value currently available.
Our Player Prop Picks for Astros vs. Mariners
Here are the top MLB player props for Thursday's Astros vs. Mariners game.
Houston Astros Prediction - Spencer Arrighetti Under 5.5 Strikeouts (+120)
| Pick | Operator | New Users | Odds |
|---|---|---|---|
| Spencer Arrighetti Under 5.5 Strikeouts | FanDuel Sportsbook | Get Offer | +120 |
- Our top prop bet for the Astros is on Spencer Arrighetti to record under 5.5 strikeouts.
- Our analysis projects this prop to have a probability of 59.3%, giving us an edge of 13.9% on the +120 odds offered by FanDuel.
Seattle Mariners Prediction - Logan Gilbert Under 17.5 Outs (+160)
| Pick | Operator | New Users | Odds |
|---|---|---|---|
| Logan Gilbert Under 17.5 Outs | BetMGM | Get Offer | +160 |
- Our best prop bet for the Mariners is on Logan Gilbert to have under 17.5 outs.
- According to our analysis, this prop has a probability of 62.1%, giving us an edge of 23.6% on the +160 odds available at BetMGM.
These MLB player props today are based purely on advanced modeling techniques that factor in variables including but not limited to past form and opponent trends, meaning you can trust that there is no bias that comes into play.
Astros vs. Mariners Betting Trends
In addition to our MLB prop picks, we have compiled the best Astros vs. Mariners trends to enhance your research and betting strategy for this game.
Yainer Diaz to Record an RBI
| Pick | Operator | New Users | Odds |
|---|---|---|---|
| Yainer Diaz to Record an RBI | DraftKings Sportsbook | Get Offer | +180 |
Yainer Diaz has recorded at least one RBI in 6 of his last 16 appearances (38% of the time). You can bet on him to do it again at odds of +180 (36% implied probability), available at DraftKings.
Luke Raley to Record an RBI
| Pick | Operator | New Users | Odds |
|---|---|---|---|
| Luke Raley to Record an RBI | DraftKings Sportsbook | Get Offer | +270 |
Luke Raley has recorded at least one RBI in 7 of his last 21 appearances (33%). You can place a bet on him to record another one at odds of +270 (27%), also available at DraftKings.
Conclusion
At BettingOdds.com, we're backing Logan Gilbert of the Mariners to record under 17.5 outs, with an edge of 23.6% marking this as our top prop bet of the game. Additionally, we are betting on the Astros +1.5 to cover.
In addition to our Astros vs. Mariners predictions, we offer extensive MLB betting resources. These include the latest MLB odds tonight and insightful MLB predictions to elevate your betting game. Discover top picks with our MLB best bets and dive into MLB sports journalists' insights. Plus, find the best odds and promotions with our guide to the best MLB betting sites.
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