Astros vs. Mariners Picks & Best Bets 19th Jul 2024: MLB Prediction, Betting Odds, Player Props & Trends
![mlb team match up image](/media/images/cipher/MLB_2024_122_SEA_HOU.png)
The Seattle Mariners will go up against the Houston Astros in MLB action on Friday at T-Mobile Park, starting at 10:10 p.m. ET.
We have conducted 10,000 simulations of Friday's MLB matchup using state-of-the-art AI technology to determine the best Astros vs. Mariners bets, player props and predictions.
Our predictions show that the Mariners have a 51% chance of beating the Astros.
To maximize the value of predictions like this, we constantly monitor the most favorable odds for each market. This ensures that the sportsbooks listed below are currently offering the highest payouts for the specified plays.
Our Astros vs. Mariners Betting Picks & Predictions
Today's Astros vs. Mariners picks combine the power of AI, stats and analytics to create MLB predictions that are free from the emotional biases typical of human-made picks.
Astros vs. Mariners Game Information
- Game Date: Friday, July 19th, 2024
- Game Time: 10:10 p.m. ET
- Location: T-Mobile Park
- Run Line: Astros -1.5 / Mariners +1.5
- Moneyline: Astros -105 / Mariners -110
- Scoring Total: Over/Under 7 Runs (-115/+100)
Mariners +1.5 @ -192 via DraftKings Sportsbook
- According to our simulations, the Mariners have a 66% chance of covering the run line, while the Astros have a probability of 34%.
- DraftKings Sportsbook offers the best odds for this bet at -192.
Total Runs Under 7 @ +100 via BetMGM
- The over/under for total runs scored is set at 7 at BetMGM, which offers the best odds for the under at +100.
- Our analysis indicates a slightly higher likelihood of the 7-run total staying under, which presents better value compared to betting on the over.
Astros vs. Mariners Moneyline Odds
The sportsbooks have released the moneyline odds for this matchup, with the Houston Astros at -105 via BetMGM, whilst the Seattle Mariners are available at -110 with FanDuel Sportsbook.
According to the model, the Mariners are favored to win this game, with our projections assigning them a 51% chance of victory.
Additionally, the Mariners present the best betting value, with the odds of -110 available at FanDuel Sportsbook making it our recommended moneyline bet.
Our Player Prop Picks for Astros vs. Mariners
Here are the top MLB player props for Friday's Astros vs. Mariners matchup.
Houston Astros Prediction - Hunter Brown Under 2.5 Earned Runs (-160)
- Our top prop bet for the Astros is on Hunter Brown to record under 2.5 earned runs.
- Our analysis projects this prop to have a probability of 71.4%, giving us an edge of 9.9% the -160 odds offered by DraftKings.
Seattle Mariners Prediction - Luis Castillo Under 18.5 Outs (-210)
- Our best prop bet for the Mariners is on Luis Castillo to have under 18.5 outs.
- According to our analysis, this prop has a probability of 76.5%, providing an edge of 8.8% on the -210 odds available at BetMGM.
These MLB player props today are based purely on advanced modeling techniques that factor in variables including but not limited to past form and opponent trends, meaning you can trust that there is no bias that comes into play.
Astros vs. Mariners Betting Trends
In addition to our MLB prop picks, we have sourced the best Astros vs. Mariners trends to enhance your research and betting strategy for this matchup.
Jake Meyers to Record an RBI
Jake Meyers has recorded at least one RBI in 9 of his last 15 games (60% of the time). You can put money on him to do it again at odds of +255 (28% implied probability), available at DraftKings.
Mauricio Dubón to Record an RBI
Mauricio Dubón has recorded at least one RBI in 6 of his last 21 appearances (29%). You can place a wager on him to record another one at odds of +265 (27%), also available at DraftKings.
Conclusion
At BettingOdds.com, we're backing Hunter Brown of the Astros to record under 2.5 earned runs, with an edge of 9.9% marking this as our top prop bet of the game. Additionally, we're betting on the Mariners +1.5 to cover.
In addition to our Astros vs. Mariners predictions, we offer extensive MLB betting tools. These include the latest MLB odds tonight and insightful MLB expert picks to elevate your betting game. Discover top picks with the MLB best bets today and dive into expert MLB insights. Plus, find the best odds and promotions with our guide to the top online MLB betting sites.