Astros vs. Guardians Picks & Best Bets 28th Sep 2024: MLB Prediction, Betting Odds, Player Props & Trends

The Cleveland Guardians will host the Houston Astros in MLB action on Saturday at Progressive Field, beginning at 6:10 p.m. ET.

We performed 10,000 simulations of Saturday's MLB matchup using advanced AI technology to pinpoint the best Astros vs. Guardians bets, player props and predictions.

According to our predictions, the Guardians have a 54% chance of defeating the Astros.

To maximize the value of predictions like this, we continually source the best odds for each market. This ensures that the sportsbooks listed below are currently offering the highest payouts for the plays identified.

Our Astros vs. Guardians Betting Picks & Predictions

Today's Astros vs. Guardians picks fuse the power of AI, data and analytics to create MLB predictions that are free from the emotional biases often associated with human-made picks.

Astros vs. Guardians Game Information

• Game Date: Saturday, September 28th, 2024
• Game Time: 6:10 p.m. ET
• Location: Progressive Field
• Run Line: Astros +1.5 / Guardians -1.5
• Moneyline: Astros +136 / Guardians -140
• Scoring Total: Over/Under 7.5 Runs (-112/-108)

Astros +1.5 @ -166 via DraftKings Sportsbook

• According to our simulations, the Astros have a 64% chance of covering the run line, while the Guardians have a probability of 36%.
• DraftKings Sportsbook offers odds of -166 for the Astros +1.5, providing a favorable 1.4% edge for them to cover.

Total Runs Over 7.5 @ -112 via DraftKings Sportsbook

• The over/under for total runs scored is set at 7.5, with DraftKings Sportsbook offering the best odds for the over at -112.
• Our analysis indicates a 65% likelihood that the total will go over 7.5 runs, providing an edge of 11.8%.

Astros vs. Guardians Moneyline Odds

The sportsbooks have released the moneyline odds for this matchup, with the Houston Astros at +136 via DraftKings Sportsbook, whilst the Cleveland Guardians are available at -140 with BetMGM.

According to the model, the Guardians are favored to win this game, with our projections giving them a 54% chance of victory.

Although the Guardians are more likely to win, DraftKings Sportsbook offers +136 odds on the Astros moneyline, providing an edge of 4%. This makes it our recommended moneyline bet.

Houston Astros Prediction - Brayan Rocchio To Get a Hit (-130)

• Our top prop bet for the Astros is on Brayan Rocchio to get a hit.
• Our analysis projects this prop to have a probability of 69.4%, giving us an edge of 12.8% on the -130 odds offered by DraftKings.

Cleveland Guardians Prediction - Brayan Rocchio To Get a Hit (-130)

• Our best prop bet for the Guardians is on Brayan Rocchio to get a hit.
• According to our analysis, this prop has a probability of 69.4%, giving us an edge of 12.8% on the -130 odds available at DraftKings.

These MLB player props today are based purely on advanced modeling techniques that factor in variables including but not limited to past form and opponent trends, meaning you can trust that there is no bias that comes into play.

Astros vs. Guardians Betting Trends

In addition to our MLB prop picks, we have compiled the best Astros vs. Guardians trends to enhance your research and betting strategy for this matchup.

Victor Caratini to Record an RBI

Victor Caratini has recorded at least one RBI in 5 of his last 10 appearances (50% of the time). You can put money on him to do it again at odds of +215 (32% implied probability), available at DraftKings.

José Ramírez to Record a Hit

José Ramírez has recorded at least one hit in 15 of his last 18 appearances (83%). You can make a bet that he'll get another one at odds of -235 (70%), also available at DraftKings.

Victor Caratini to Hit a Home Run

Victor Caratini has hit at least one home run in 2 of his last 10 games (20%). You can wager on him to homer again at odds of +700 (12%), available at Bet365.

Conclusion

At BettingOdds.com, we're backing Brayan Rocchio of the Astros to get a hit as our top prop bet of the game. Additionally, we are placing a bet on the Astros +1.5 to cover.

Beyond our Astros vs. Guardians predictions, we offer extensive MLB betting resources. These include the latest MLB odds tonight and insightful MLB predictions to elevate your betting game. Discover top picks with our best MLB bets and dive into our MLB insights. Plus, find the best odds and promotions with our guide to the top MLB betting sites.