Astros vs. Guardians Picks & Best Bets 27th Sep 2024: MLB Prediction, Betting Odds, Player Props & Trends
The Cleveland Guardians will face the Houston Astros in MLB action on Friday at Progressive Field, beginning at 7:10 p.m. ET.
We have run 10,000 simulations of Friday's MLB matchup using innovative AI technology to identify the best Astros vs. Guardians bets, player props and predictions.
Our predictions show that the Guardians have a 54% chance of beating the Astros.
To maximize the value of predictions like this, we continually source the most favorable odds for each market. This means that the sportsbooks listed below are currently offering the biggest payouts for the plays identified.
Our Astros vs. Guardians Betting Picks & Predictions
Today's Astros vs. Guardians picks fuse the power of AI, statistics and analytics to produce MLB predictions that are free from the emotional biases often associated with human-made picks.
Astros vs. Guardians Game Information
- Game Date: Friday, September 27th, 2024
- Game Time: 7:10 p.m. ET
- Location: Progressive Field
- Run Line: Astros -1.5 / Guardians +1.5
- Moneyline: Astros +105 / Guardians -120
- Scoring Total: Over/Under 8.5 Runs (-105/-110)
Guardians +1.5 @ -194 via FanDuel Sportsbook
- According to our simulations, the Guardians have a 65% chance of covering the run line, while the Astros have a probability of 35%.
- FanDuel Sportsbook offers the best odds for this bet at -194.
Total Runs Over 8.5 @ -105 via BetMGM
- The over/under for total runs scored is set at 8.5 at BetMGM, which offers the best odds for the over at -105.
- Our analysis suggests a 55% chance of the 8.5-run total going over, providing an edge of 4%.
Astros vs. Guardians Moneyline Odds
The sportsbooks have released the moneyline odds for this matchup, with the Houston Astros at +105 via BetMGM, whilst the Cleveland Guardians are available at -120 with FanDuel Sportsbook.
According to the model, the Guardians are favored to win this game, with our projections assigning them a 54% chance of coming out on top.
Additionally, the Guardians present the best betting value, with the odds of -120 available at FanDuel Sportsbook making it our recommended moneyline bet.
Houston Astros Prediction - Jhonkensy Noel To Get a Hit (-130)
- Our top prop bet for the Astros is on Jhonkensy Noel to get a hit.
- Our analysis projects this prop to have a probability of 70.1%, providing an edge of 13.6% on the -130 odds offered by BetMGM.
Cleveland Guardians Prediction - Jhonkensy Noel To Get a Hit (-130)
- Our best prop bet for the Guardians is on Jhonkensy Noel to get a hit.
- According to our analysis, this prop has a probability of 70.1%, giving us an edge of 13.6% on the -130 odds available at BetMGM.
These MLB player props today are based purely on advanced modeling techniques that factor in variables including but not limited to past form and opponent trends, meaning you can trust that there is no bias that comes into play.
Astros vs. Guardians Betting Trends
In addition to our MLB prop picks, we have sourced the best Astros vs. Guardians trends to enhance your research and betting strategy for this matchup.
José RamÃrez to Record a Hit
José RamÃrez has recorded at least one hit in 15 of his last 17 games (88% of the time). You can wager on him to do it again at odds of -240 (71% implied probability), available at DraftKings.
Andrés Giménez to Hit a Home Run
Andrés Giménez has hit at least one home run in 4 of his last 24 games (17%). You can place a bet on him to hit another one at odds of +850 (11%), available at Bet365.
Conclusion
At BettingOdds.com, we're backing Jhonkensy Noel of the Astros to get a hit as our top prop bet of the game. Additionally, we're betting on the Guardians +1.5 to cover.
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