Astros vs. Blue Jays Picks & Best Bets 4th Jul 2024: MLB Prediction, Betting Odds, Player Props & Trends

The Toronto Blue Jays will meet the Houston Astros in MLB action on Thursday at Rogers Centre, starting at 1:07 p.m. ET.

We've run 10,000 simulations of Thursday's MLB matchup using advanced AI technology to reveal the best Astros vs. Blue Jays bets, player props and predictions.

According to our predictions, this game could go down to the wire, with both the Astros and Blue Jays having a 50% probability of winning.

To get the maximum value from these predictions, we constantly monitor the most favorable odds for each market. This ensures that the sportsbooks listed below are currently offering the highest payouts for the plays identified.

Our Astros vs. Blue Jays Betting Picks & Predictions

Today's Astros vs. Blue Jays picks fuse the power of AI, stats and analytics to produce MLB picks that are free from the emotional biases typical of human-made picks.

Astros vs. Blue Jays Game Information

• Game Date: Thursday, July 4th, 2024
• Game Time: 1:07 p.m. ET
• Location: Rogers Centre
• Run Line: Astros -1.5 / Blue Jays +1.5
• Moneyline: Astros -105 / Blue Jays -110
• Scoring Total: Over/Under 8 Runs (-125/-105)

Blue Jays +1.5 @ -180 via DraftKings Sportsbook

• According to our simulations, the Blue Jays have a 63% chance of covering the run line, while the Astros have a probability of 37%.
• DraftKings Sportsbook offers the best odds for this bet at -180.

Total Runs Over 8 @ -125 via BetMGM

• The over/under for total runs scored is set at 8 at BetMGM, which offers the best odds for the over at -125.
• Our analysis suggests a 56% probability that the total will go over 8 runs, providing an edge of 0.2%.

Astros vs. Blue Jays Moneyline Odds

The sportsbooks have released the moneyline odds for this matchup, with the Houston Astros at -105 via DraftKings Sportsbook, whilst the Toronto Blue Jays are available at -110 with BetMGM.

According to the model, the Astros are favored to win this game, with our projections giving them a 50% chance of coming out on top.

With both teams projected to have a 50% chance of winning, it's the moneyline odds for the Astros that present the best value. DraftKings Sportsbook's -105 odds make this our recommended moneyline bet.

Our Player Prop Picks for Astros vs. Blue Jays

Here are the top MLB player props for Thursday's Astros vs. Blue Jays matchup.

Houston Astros Prediction - Framber Valdez Over 4.5 Strikeouts (+100)

• Our top prop bet for the Astros is on Framber Valdez to record over 4.5 strikeouts.
• Our analysis projects this prop to have a probability of 58.6%, providing an edge of 8.6% the +100 odds offered by FanDuel.

Toronto Blue Jays Prediction - Kevin Kiermaier To Get a Hit (-105)

• Our best prop bet for the Blue Jays is on Kevin Kiermaier to get a hit.
• According to our analysis, this prop has a probability of 63.4%, providing an edge of 12.2% on the -105 odds available at DraftKings.

These MLB player props today are based purely on advanced modeling techniques that factor in variables including but not limited to past form and opponent trends, meaning you can trust that there is no bias that comes into play.

Astros vs. Blue Jays Betting Trends

In addition to our MLB prop picks, we have sourced the best Astros vs. Blue Jays trends to enhance your research and betting strategy for this matchup.

Jake Meyers to Record an RBI

Jake Meyers has recorded at least one RBI in 6 of his last 11 games (55% of the time). You can bet on him to do it again at odds of +200 (33% implied probability), available at DraftKings.

Conclusion

At BettingOdds.com, we're backing Kevin Kiermaier of the Blue Jays to get a hit as our top prop bet of the game. Additionally, we're betting on the Blue Jays +1.5 to cover.

Beyond our Astros vs. Blue Jays predictions, we offer a wide range of MLB betting tools. These include the latest MLB odds tonight and insightful MLB predictions today to elevate your betting game. Discover top picks with our best MLB bets tonight and dive into our MLB insights. Plus, find the best odds and promotions with our guide to the top online MLB betting sites.