MLB Best Bets & Expert Picks for Today 4th July 2024

It's time for baseball on Thursday, July 4, with 14 regular-season MLB games that we can bet on today.

Our predictive analytics model has simulated the outcome of each of today's matchups and identified the top five betting opportunities, with the best bet of the day coming in the White Sox vs. Guardians matchup at 1:10PM ET.

Other games we're wagering on include Giants vs. Braves and Tigers vs. Twins, ensuring an exciting Thursday for MLB betting.

MLB Best Bets for Today

Thursday's MLB action features five bets with an edge according to our model. The best value is over 8.5 runs in the White Sox-Guardians game, offering an edge of 4.6% at odds of -105.

Top MLB Picks for 4th July 2024

Prepare for an exhilarating day of baseball action with our top picks for 4th July 2024. These plays offer valuable opportunities for success, based on carefully constructed data analysis and predictive algorithms.

Having analyzed every run line, total and moneyline, each pick is methodically chosen to offer an edge in today's baseball matchups.

Add to your Thursday betting experience with these scientifically curated picks, free from the emotional biases typical of human-made picks.

White Sox vs. Guardians Over 8.5 Runs (-105)

• White Sox vs. Guardians (1:10PM ET, Thursday)
• 4.6% edge
• 55.8% probability
• Best odds available with DraftKings Sportsbook

With a calculated edge of 4.6% and a probability of 55.8%, the over 8.5 runs bet at -105 is our best bet for today's baseball. Don't miss this +EV play in the White Sox vs. Guardians matchup at 1:10PM ET, available at DraftKings Sportsbook.

Giants vs. Braves Over 8 Runs (-108)

• Giants vs. Braves (7:20PM ET, Thursday)
• 4.3% edge
• 56.2% probability
• Best odds available with DraftKings Sportsbook

With a probability of 56.2% and an edge of 4.3%, the over 8 runs bet at -108 is another valuable play. Place your bet on this high-value pick in the Giants vs. Braves game before it begins at 7:20PM ET, with the best odds available at DraftKings Sportsbook.

Tigers vs. Twins Over 7.5 Runs (-125)

• Tigers vs. Twins (1:10PM ET, Thursday)
• 3.3% edge
• 58.9% probability
• Best odds available with BetMGM

With an edge of 3.3% and a probability of 58.9%, the over 7.5 runs bet at -125 with BetMGM is our next recommended bet for Thursday. Don't let this chance pass by in the Tigers vs. Twins matchup at 1:10PM ET.

Brewers vs. Rockies Under 10.5 Runs (+100)

• Brewers vs. Rockies (8:10PM ET, Thursday)
• 3.2% edge
• 53.2% probability
• Best odds available with BetMGM

Today's next pick is under 10.5 runs at +100, with a probability of 53.2% and an edge of 3.2%. Don't miss out on this prime betting play in the Brewers vs. Rockies matchup at 8:10PM ET, available at BetMGM.

Royals +1.5 (-150)

• Rays vs. Royals (8:10PM ET, Thursday)
• 2.7% edge
• 62.7% probability
• Best odds available with BetMGM

Our MLB analysis shows the Royals +1.5 run line at -150 as another top wager, backed by an edge of 2.7% and a high 62.7% probability of hitting. Capitalize on this promising bet in the Rays vs. Royals game at 8:10PM ET, available at BetMGM.

Best MLB Parlay for Thursday

Thursday's MLB parlay consists of two legs, offering odds of +276 at DraftKings Sportsbook.

Conclusion

At BettingOdds.com, our MLB play of the day is over 8.5 runs in the White Sox vs. Guardians game. Additionally, we have four further bets and a +276 parlay, offering value for those seeking data-driven action on today's baseball slate.

In addition to our Thursday MLB best bets and parlay, we offer extensive MLB betting tools. These include the latest MLB odds tonight and insightful MLB expert picks to elevate your betting game. Discover top picks with our MLB best bets and dive into MLB sports journalists' insights. Plus, find the best odds and promotions with our guide to the best MLB betting sites.