Pacers vs. Heat NBA Betting Picks: Prediction, Odds & Player Props
Posted: 16:34 Thursday 30 November 2023
The Miami Heat (10-8) and Indiana Pacers (9-7) face off tonight in a matchup that could prove pivotal in the playoff race later on in the season. While neither appear a tier A title contender this season, both squads have performed in the upper crust just below that coveted group, competitive throughout the year.
Both teams are coming off a loss and have stumbled of late; this will be the first of 4 meetings between the conferences foes.
Below is my prediction along with prop bets that stood out for one of the marquee games in tonight's slate.
- Game Date: Thursday, November 30th, 2023
- Game Time: 7:30 pm EST
- Spread: Heat -2
- Moneyline: Heat -130; Pacers +110
- Scoring Total: 238 points
- Location: Kaseya Center, Miami, Florida
- TV Channel: NBA TV
Our Miami Heat vs. Indiana Pacers Betting Picks & Prediction
Indiana to cover the spread
| Betting Pick | Operator | Odds |
| Pacers +2 | DraftKings | -110 |
- The majority of Indiana's games against playoff caliber opponents have been within single digits
- Both Miami and Indiana are just slightly above league average net rating; they are typically playing close games
- The Pacers have covered in 9 of their last 10 in Miami
Total under 238 points
| Betting Pick | Operator | Odds |
| Scoring total under 238 points | DraftKings | -112 |
- Miami is 26th in pace; less possessions means less scoring chances
- The scoring average in games involving the Heat is 219.7
- I expect the Pacers to struggle containing Bam Adebayo in the paint and on the glass; they're 26th in defensive rebound rate
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Our Player Prop Picks for Heat vs. Pacers
Tyrese Haliburton Under 8.5 Assists
| Betting Pick | Operator | Odds |
| Under 8.5 assists | DraftKings | +255 |
- Opposition shoots 47.6% against the Heat, 21st in the NBA
- Haliburton has one of his lowest career assist average marks against Miami, a team that has traditionally given him trouble in spurts
- I keep coming back to Miami's ability to dictate pace and push down the tempo of a game, allowing less possessions to occur
Bam Adebayo Over 1.5 Blocks
| Betting Pick | Operator | Odds |
| Bam over 1.5 blocks | DraftKings | +160 |
- Bam is averaging 1.1 blocks per game
- The Pacers take more two-point shot attempts than anyone in the league; more opportunities to block shots
- The Pacers are blocked 6.2 times per game, the 5th highest rate in the league
Buddy Hield 5+ threes made
| Betting Pick | Operator | Odds |
| Hield 5+ made 3's | DraftKings | +225 |
- Hield is taking 7.5 threes per game since entering the starting lineup
- He's done it four times this season, twice since entering the starting lineup
- Miami is 26th in three point percentage against them (38%) while giving up a roughly league average number of threes
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