Minnesota Lynx at New York Liberty Predictions, Picks and Odds - July 28
The New York Liberty is red-hot and looking for its next victim.
Seven wins in eight games has vaulted New York into first place in the Eastern Conference as it prepares for a home matchup against the Minnesota Lynx on Friday, January 28.
The Liberty scored a WNBA-record 44 points in the first quarter on July 23 against the Indiana Fever and will aim to keep rolling in this matchup.
New York is the better team and has the home court advantage so it will certainly be favored. ESPN’s analytics give the Liberty an 85.6% chance to win the contest.
The Liberty scores 88.7 points per game, second-most in the WNBA behind only the Las Vegas Aces, while Minnesota has struggled defensively this season, which could result in a high over/under scoring total.
Minnesota Lynx at New York Liberty Picks
- Moneyline: New York Liberty, -1600 with Fanduel
- Spread: Minnesota Lynx +14.5, -110 with Fanduel
- Points Total: Under 168.5, -113 with Fanduel
PREDICTION
The Lynx have a 10-13 overall record, which is good for third place in the Western Conference, and have won half of their 10 road games this season. That would suggest this game might be competitive, but the Liberty is the superior outfit and should have no trouble cruising to the win.
Minnesota has an average point-differential of negative-6.0 per game, which is third-worst in the WNBA. Meanwhile, the Liberty both have an impressive 17-5 record and accompanying underlying metrics which give them the look of a true championship contender.
Score Prediction: New York Liberty 90, Minnesota Lynx 78
PLAYERS TO WATCH
The Liberty is led by Breanna Stewart, who is averaging 22.6 points, 9.3 rebounds, 1.5 steals and 1.4 blocks per game while shooting 40.4% from downtown. Keep an eye on potential prop bet opportunities for Stewart, who has been one of the best players in the WNBA this season.
Sabrina Ionescu rounds out New York’s elite 1-2 punch. She is averaging 16.2 points, 6.4 rebounds and 5.4 assists on the year. Ionescu, who put on a historic three-point shooting performance at WNBA All-Star Game Weekend, tallied a triple-double on July 25 with 12 points, 12 rebounds and 12 assists against the Seattle Storm.
The Lynx will need a big game from Napheesa Collier, who is averaging 21.7 points, 7.8 rebounds, 1.5 steals and 1.2 blocks per game on the year. She went for 35 in a recent matchup against Atlanta and has to be efficient against New York to give Minnesota a puncher’s chance.
HOW TO WATCH
The Minnesota Lynx and New York Liberty will face off on Friday, July 28, 2023 at 8 p.m. ET at the Barclays Center in Brooklyn, New York. The game can be seen on WNBA League Pass. It was originally set for June 7 but was rescheduled due to air quality issues.
