Miami Heat vs. Atlanta Hawks NBA Betting Picks: Predictions, Odds & Player Props
Posted: 16:11 Saturday 11 November 2023
Miami Heat vs. Atlanta Hawks NBA Betting Picks: Predictions, Odds & Player Props
In a rematch of the first game of the Eastern Conference play-in last season, Miami and Atlanta face off for the first time this season on Saturday night. Sporting similar records floating around .500, both teams need this game to bolster their early season push.
Both teams have found a groove of late, the Heat 3-1 in November, and the Hawks are 5-1 after dropping their first two games of the season.
The Hawks are a slight favorite, but the game spread is only two possessions, indicating a likely close game. It will be an interesting clash as Atlanta's offense has been near the top of the league with a middling defense, and Miami has been solid defensively, but struggled to find easy buckets.
It's only about game ten in the regular season, but both teams need to bank wins against other playoff teams to solidify themselves early in the Eastern Conference seeding race.
- Game Date: Saturday, November 11th
- Game Time: 7:30 p.m. ET
- Spread: Heat -4.5
- Location: Statefarm Arena in Atlanta, Georgia
- TV Channel: NBA League Pass
Our Miami Heat vs. Atlanta Hawks Betting Picks & Predictions
Atlanta Hawks Moneyline
| Betting Pick | Operator | Odds |
| Hawks Moneyline | Draftkings Sportsbook | -110 |
- Tyler Herro is out with a Grade 2 ankle sprain
- The Hawks are 2nd in offensive rating while being top 12 in strength of schedule
- Atlanta is first in free throws made per game and 2nd in attempts
Total Points Under 229
| Betting Pick | Operator | Odds |
| Under 229 | DraftKings Sportsbook | -110 |
- Miami is 27th in the NBA in Offensive Rating
- Miami is 20th in pace
- Opponents have only scored 110 or higher in 3 games against the Heat
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Our Player Prop Bets for Hawks vs. Heat
Both Teams Under 110.5 Points
| Betting Pick | Operator | Odds |
| Both Teams Total Points Under 110.5 | DraftKings Sportsbook | +350 |
- Miami has held 3 of their past 4 opponents under 110 points
- Miami has only scored over 110 points once in that frame
- Atlanta doesn't force turnovers at a high rate
Clint Capela 12+ Points
| Betting Pick | Operator | Odds |
| Clint Capela Alt Points (12+) | DraftKings Sportsbook | +160 |
- Low risk
- Atlanta is 3rd in the NBA in offensive rebound percentage, playing with much more size than Miami
- Capela has scored 12 or more 4 times this season, averaging 4 offensive rebounds in those game: When Clint gets on the offensive glass, he gets easy putbacks.
Bam Adebayo Alt Points 25+
| Betting Pick | Operator | Odds |
| Bam Adebayo Alt Points (25+) | DraftKings Sportsbook | +135 |
- Adebayo has a career high in usage and Field Goal Attempts per 36 minutes
- Atlanta is in the bottom third in defensive rating in the league
- Adebayo has the highest free throw rate of his career since his rookie season
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