Bucks @ Heat Game 3 Predictions: Bucks to win on the Road

The Bucks-Heat series in tied at 1 and Zach Rainey likes the road team to take the series lead. Read on to find out why...

The Milwaukee Bucks have taken the trip down to South Beach for Game 3 against the Miami Heat. 

Miami was in strong contention in Game 1 and it looked like they were going to be able to steal the game in overtime after Jimmy Butler blew by Giannis Antetokounmpo. But Milwaukee was able to shake off their shortcomings that included Giannis missing easy layups around the rim to take Game 1. 

In Game 2, Milwaukee looked like they had all season, defeating Miami 132-98.

Jimmy Butler had just 10 points on 4-of-10 shooting and a plus-minus of -34. 

It was an uninspired effort from the rest of the starting five as well. Bam Adebayo scored 16 on 5-of-11 shooting and had just three rebounds. 

Kendrick Nunn turned in nine, Duncan Robinson 10 and Trevor Ariza with a whopping zero. 

The good news for Miami is that Playoff Dragic continues to be a thing for Miami, turning in 18 points with four assists. I’m still not sure if Dewayne Dedmon’s team-leading 19 points is a good thing for Miami. He can provide a positive lift, but I still think they’d rather see Bam get going than have to rely on Dedmon that much during the series. 

Tyler Herro continues to be a no show after being the driving factor in the team’s upset over Miami last season. The team also shot just 28 percent in Game 2. I don’t think it stays that low, but there hasn’t been much out of Miami that’s made me think they’re going to turn things around just because they’re at home now. 

On the flip side of that, I don’t think players like Bryn Forbes and Pat Connaughton combine to go 9-of-18 again from three. Milwaukee’s starters didn’t light things up, with Jrue Holiday scoring just 11, Donte DiVincenzo scored five. If Milwaukee is going to keep getting this type of production for the remainder of the series, I think they coast. 

It seems like Vegas is looking at Game 2 as a wash, since they have the line at just -1.5 for Milwaukee. 

I’ll take the Bucks tonight as road favorites. 

For our prop, I’m going to take Jrue Holiday under 6.5 assists. I think the market is overreacting after he had 15 assists in Game 2. He had just three in Game 1, so I’m going to buy the overreaction. 

You can get it at +105 at PointsBet, +110 at BetMGM and +112 at 888Sport, BetRivers and Unibet.