Patriots vs. Colts NFL Betting Picks: Prediction, Odds & Player Props
Posted: 16:38 Thursday 9th November 2023
New England Patriots vs. Indianapolis Colts Picks & Best Bets: NFL Prediction Betting Odds, Player Props & Trends
The New England Patriots look like the worst team in the AFC and just left cornerback J.C. Jackson in the United States for a mental reset as they make their way to Germany for a Week 10 matchup with the Indianapolis Colts.
Suffice to say, we are a long way from the perennial Super Bowl champions of years past. Coach Bill Belichick hopes to get things turned around for his 2-7 squad, but a high pick in the 2024 NFL draft is more likely than the playoffs.
The Colts are 4-5 on the season and have been instituted as 1.5-point favorites as these teams head overseas for a neutral site matchup. Backup quarterback Gardner Minshew will be the starter the rest of the season with rookie Anthony Richardson on injured reserve, and thus far he’s performed admirably.
It feels like the oddsmakers are giving Belichick some respect with these betting odds because the Colts have clearly been the superior team this season. Great coaching does matter, but anyone watching the games this season should feel confident in backing Indianapolis on the moneyline and to cover a small spread.
- Game Date: Sunday, November 12th, 2023
- Game Time: 9:30 a.m. ET
- Spread: Colts -1.5
- Location: Frankfurt Stadium, Frankfurt, Germany
- TV Channel: NFL Network
Our New England Patriots vs. Indianapolis Colts Betting Picks & Predictions
Indianapolis Colts against the spread
| Betting Pick | Operator | Odds |
| Colts -1.5 | BetMGM | -110 |
- The Colts are No. 12 in DVOA on both offense and defense
- Indy backup QB Gardner Minshew is No. 8 in Total QBR, while Pats QB Mac Jones is No. 24
- The Patriots have a negative-93 point-differential
Total Points Under 43.5
| Betting Pick | Operator | Odds |
| Under 43.5 points | DraftKings | -110 |
- New England’s defense is its strength and its offense is only averaging 15 points per game, second-lowest in the NFL
- The Colts average 25.8 points per game but could be slowed in this matchup
- If the game is close throughout both teams will look to take care of the ball and consider field position
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Our Player Prop Picks for Patriots vs. Colts
Colts RB Jonathan Taylor to find the end zone
| Betting Pick | Operator | Odds |
| Jonathan Taylor Anytime TD | DraftKings | -130 |
- Taylor saw a season-high 74% play-time last week
- The Colts’ star running back has scored in two of the past three games
- The betting odds are favorable based on his talent and production
Patriots TE Hunter Henry to score last touchdown
| Betting Pick | Operator | Odds |
| Hunter Henry Last TD | DraftKings | +1500 |
- The Patriots could be throwing late in an attempt to rally
- Henry is second on the team with three touchdown catches
- The Colts’ safeties could be playing deep with a lead, giving room for a Henry catch-and-run
Colts WR Michael Pittman to score and Colts to win
| Betting Pick | Operator | Odds |
| Pittman TD + Colts ML | BetMGM | +325 |
- Pittman is the Colts’ top aerial threat and Minshew is a more traditional passer than Richardson
- Indianapolis will be in a good spot to win this game if the passing attack is clicking
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