England vs. Germany Predictions: The 1-1 at +600 tempts
England vs. Germany is next up for Euro 2020 fans and after the thrills and spills of a wonderful Monday, Neil Monnery isn't expecting as good of a game but still has plenty of thoughts betting wise heading into this one at Wembley...
Location: London, England
Date: Tuesday, June 29
Kick Off Time: 12PM ET
TV: ESPN
Out of all the Round of 16 games, this one undoubtedly has the most history behind it. A World Cup Final in 1966, A Quarter-Final in 1970, a Semi-Final in 1990, another semi-final - this time in the European Championships in 1996 and a Round of 16 game at World Cup 2010 all have significant places in the footballing history between the two countries. It has often been Germany that have come out on top so there are plenty of mental scars for English fans.
For the team however, this young squad will in general not be old enough to remember any of these ties bar the 2010 World Cup game. They came through the group stage without conceding but only scoring twice. Both came from Manchester City’s Raheem Sterling who came into this tournament out of form but has very much cemented his place in the starting XI.
Mason Mount started the first two games but has been self-isolating having been in contact with someone who tested positive for Covid-19. That self-isolation ends today so he is available and reports suggest he may well come straight back into the side. There is also plenty of speculation that England will revert to a 3-4-3 formation in an effort to deal with Germany’s wing-backs.
Speaking of those wing-backs, Robin Gosens has been a revelation of this tournament. The Atalanta player has been tremendous and caused opposition defenses all manner of trouble. On the other side Joshua Kimmich continues to be an important player. I would not be surprised if this was the key battle of the game - whoever wins the flanks will take the game.
Thomas Muller should be fit enough to return to the starting lineup with Leroy Sane set to make way.
Germany played three games in the group stages and looked pretty much completely different in all of them. Against Portugal they looked like world-beaters, against France they looked below-par and Hungary gave them all sorts of fits as they nearly failed to qualify - eventually drawing the game 2-2 having been behind twice.
As for the Moneyline, I’m stunned - repeat that - stunned - that the tie is considered the biggest price of the three outcomes. England are +150 favorites with Germany +200 and the tie is +240. These are two evenly matched teams and a low-scoring encounter seems highly likely.
Harry Kane still hasn’t scored at Euro 2020 but the Spurs’ front-man has to break that duck sooner rather than later, surely…? He’s +185 to score with Unibet and SugarHouse.
I spoke about Robin Gosens earlier and you can get +700 on him hitting the back of the net with BetMGM, Borgata and Resorts Casino.
My last play is on the Correct Score market. 1-1 is the betting favorite at +600 with bet365 but I can see why. Historically 1-1 has been a key scoreline between these two in big games (1990 and 1996) and I fully expect a close low-scoring affair.
Picks: The tie at +240 with the Correct Score of 1-1 at +600 on top. Kane and Gosens to score at any time at +185 and +700 respectively.
