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Canelo vs. Bivol Predictions: Our Pick is Canelo by Knockout

Bivol enters this contest as an unbeaten fighter, but Canelo is favorite
Bivol enters this contest as an unbeaten fighter, but Canelo is favorite
By Michael Bates

In the Light-Heavyweight division, there is a WBA Super World Title clash in Las Vegas this coming weekend between Dmitry Bivol (the current champion) and the world champion Saul 'Canelo' Alvarez.

We've taken a look at each of the boxer's form and offer up our insights as well as the odds for this hotly anticipated meeting with a fight of the winner of Joe Smith Jr. vs. Artur Beterbiev possibly in the works further down the line.

When and how to watch the Canelo - Bivol fight

The location is set at the 20,000-seat T-Mobile Arena in the heart of Las Vegas on Saturday, May 7, tickets are sold out but the secondary ticket markets are offering you prices of anywhere from $400 - $18,995 for a single ticket! If you cannot get to the fight itself then you will have to resort to watching it on DAZN PPV, the current price of $79.99 for non-subscribers or $59.99 if you already subscribe to DAZN. As you would expect there is a busy undercard but the main event should take place around 11 PM (EDT).

Main fight officials: 


  • Russell Mora (Nevada)


  • Steve Weisfeld (New Jersey
  • Dave Moretti (Nevada) 
  • Tim Cheatham (Nevada)

Full Fight Card

  • Elnur Abduraimov vs Manuel Correa
  • Marc Castro vs Pedro Vicente Scharbaai
  • Alexis Espino vs Aaron Silva
  • Joselito Velazquez vs Jose Soto
  • Shakhram Giyasov vs Christian Gomez
  • Zhilei Zhang vs TBC
  • Montana Love vs Gabriel Gollaz Valenzuela
  • MAIN EVENT: Canelo Alvarez vs Dmitry Bivol – for the WBA (Super) light heavyweight title

Bivol goes into the fight as the defending champion and is unbeaten, he also happens to be the 12th fighter that has been unbeaten that Canelo has faced in recent years, (the last Canel faced being Caleb Plant in November 2021).

However, Bivol has chosen to fight sparingly since turning professional in 2014, only having 19 bouts to his name, with some of his opponents possibly questionable, his last six wins have had to be decided by a points decision.

Few will doubt Canelo's pedigree going into this fight, he's had 60 fights with just 1 loss, 2 draws, and 39 knockouts, along with 18 wins by decision, and it is no surprise to see that the bookmakers have him as the clear favorite, depending on which state you are in he is as low as -625 to win whereas Bivol is firmly around the +400 mark. 

The value then is firmly in the round betting and Bet MGM (whose current new customer is a risk-free bet of up to $1000) is our choice of bookmakers to look at, in previous bouts, Canelo has taken the fight the distance (round 11 +2000, round 12 +2500) but we feel an early-round 3 win might be on the cards on this occasion which is priced +3300. 

Do enjoy the fight but please gamble responsibly, all odds are subject to change.


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