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Netherlands Euro Tips and Betting Odds

Memphis Depay now has the leading scorer in the current Netherlands squad with 19 goals in 56 appearances
Memphis Depay now has the leading scorer in the current Netherlands squad with 19 goals in 56 appearances

We’re continuing BettingOdds.com’s Euro 2021 profile series, where we’ll be counting down to next summer’s tournament with an in-depth look at the betting opportunities for each of the countries involved. This time it’s the Netherlands who are under the spotlight.

Ending a run of failing to qualify for a major tournament since 2014

After the heavy disappointment of failing to qualify for both Euro 2016 and the World Cup in 2018, the Netherlands have been quietly rebuilding and developing their side. Ronald Koeman took charge in February 2018 and under his management the Netherlands qualified for their first major tournament since 2014. 

In a group that featured Germany and a resilient Northern Ireland the Netherlands lost just once, which came at the hands of Germany. The Dutch put that straight though with an emphatic 4-2 win in Hamburg to cruise through to next summer’s delayed tournament. 

Ronald Koeman left for Barcelona in August 2020 and Frank de Boer is now the new man at the helm. De Boer is yet to card his first win as manager losing one and drawing two of his first three games. The 1-1 stalemate away at Italy most recently did give some hope but his side will need to find form quickly if they are going to progress in next summer’s Euros.

Off the back of this positive qualifying campaign and with a host of young players who have improved over the last few years, the Netherlands are priced at 7/1 in the Euro winner betting market. The last time the flying Dutchmen tasted success was back in 1988 with goals from Ruud Guillit and Marco Van Basten in a 2-0 win over the Soviet Union.

Netherlands’ finishes at major international tournaments over the last 25 years

  • 2018 World Cup, did not qualify

  • 2016 Euro’s, did not qualify

  • 2014 World Cup, third place

  • 2012 Euro’s, Group Stage

  • 2010 World Cup, Runners-up

  • 2008 Euro’s, quarter-finals

  • 2006 World Cup, Round of 16

  • 2004 Euro’s, third place

  • 2002 World Cup, did not qualify

  • 2000 Euro’s, third place

  • 1998 World Cup, fourth place

  • 1996 Euro’s, quarter-finals

Which group have the Netherlands been drawn in for Euro 2021

Group C

  • Netherlands

  • Ukraine

  • Austria

  • Georgia or North Macedonia

The Netherlands have been dealt quite a generous hand with their group and they are a short price at 2/7 to finish top with some bookmakers. However, with four best third-placed teams going through to the round of 16, it could well be possible that they meet one of the teams from the group of death in Germany, France or Portugal.

Group C Winner

Netherlands
WIN PROB: 75%
1
£30 FREE BET
Ukraine
WIN PROB: 17%
1
£30 FREE BET
Austria
WIN PROB: 11%
1
£40 FREE BET
Play-off Winner
WIN PROB: 5%
1
£30 FREE BET
We’re used to seeing football odds displayed in either fractions (2/1) or decimal (3.0), but what the Win Percentage Probability score does is show you exactly what percentage chance the bookmaker gives that selection of winning based on their odds.
Odds correct as of 2020-11-26 05:29 Odds subject to change.

The Netherlands outright odds at Euro 2021

With odds of 7/1 to win Euro 2021, the Netherlands have been given an implied 12.5% chance of winning the tournament. This price does look a little skinny for my liking having recently changed managers it’s not a price I would be rushing to get behind.

My main issue with the Netherlands is to do with their manager, I’m unconvinced whether he will have the pedigree to take his side deep into the tournament. From what we have seen so far under De Boer, his side have been lacking potency in the final third.

Failing to score against Bosnia and Mexico has shown that this team is not firing on all cylinders, when you think back to the 4-2 win away in Germany 12 months previously. It’s an issue that needs sorting as a matter of urgency and I’d be keeping an eye on how they perform over the next six months before going anywhere near them in the outright winner market.

Euro 2021 Winner

Belgium
WIN PROB: 15%
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England
WIN PROB: 14%
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France
WIN PROB: 14%
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Spain
WIN PROB: 11%
1
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Germany
WIN PROB: 11%
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Netherlands
WIN PROB: 11%
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Italy
WIN PROB: 8%
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Portugal
WIN PROB: 7%
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Croatia
WIN PROB: 3%
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Denmark
WIN PROB: 1%
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Ukraine
WIN PROB: 1%
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Switzerland
WIN PROB: 1%
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Russia
WIN PROB: 1%
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Turkey
WIN PROB: 1%
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Poland
WIN PROB: 1%
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Sweden
WIN PROB: 1%
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Austria
WIN PROB: 1%
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Wales
WIN PROB: 0%
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Czech Republic
WIN PROB: 0%
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Slovakia
WIN PROB: 0%