Aston Villa vs Legia Warsaw Prediction and Betting Tips: Back in-form hosts to go top of Group E
Aston Villa do battle with Legia Warsaw in a huge Europa Conference League game on Thursday night.
The two clubs are fighting it out for automatic progression from Group E into the last-16 of the competition, meaning there's plenty at stake when they lock horns at Villa Park.
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Aston Villa are the favourites to win the Europa Conference League at a best-priced 7/2 with bet365 and BoyleSports, however, despite overseeing three straight wins since suffering a losing start to life in Group E, they still have their work cut out to advance as group winners.
For starters, they sit second - albeit on a head-to-head basis - to Legia Warsaw who triumphed 3-2 when the teams clashed in Poland back in September.
Since then, Villa have lost just twice in 12 matches in all competitions, winning six of the last seven.
Unai Emery has transformed Villa Park into an absolute fortress where his side have carved out 16 wins from their last 18 games dating back to March, winning the last six on the spin, which includes Group E victories over Zrinjski and AZ.
Villa will now use this as fuel to claim a pivotal win which could fire them into the next round. The hosts are priced at just 3/10 to win, with a draw at 4/1, while a win for the visitors is way out at 10/1.
Aston Villa vs Legia Warsaw Tips
As touched on, Aston Villa boast an immense home record. Not only have they won 13 straight Premier League games in front of their passionate home support, but they've also been victorious in all three Europa Conference League games there this term.
Villa have won their last four matches at Villa Park 3-1, 2-1, 3-1, and 4-1, which nudges us in the direction of a Villa win and both teams to score at 19/10 with William Hill.
After all, both teams to score has been a common theme in their matches this season, 13 to be precise, including seven of the last eight.
On top of that, both teams to score has been green ticked in eight of Legia's 10 matches in the Europa Conference League this season - including qualifiers - while they edged Villa out 3-2 in an entertaining duel back in September.
Back on their own stomping ground Villa are a different beast and I fully expect them to run out victorious on Thursday.
Leon Bailey is enjoying a fine season with 12 goal involvements in 18 matches to date.
The winger has scored three goals and registered a further three assists in his six Europa Conference League games - including qualifiers - and has featured in all but three minutes of his side's four Group E games.
In the six games that he's scored in Villa have won 4-0, 5-0, 3-0, 3-1, 4-1, and 4-1 again. With this in mind, I like the increased offering of 11/4 for Bailey to score and Villa to score over three goals.
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